The increase in floods and flash floods over the last decades has motivated researchers to develop improved methodologies for flood risk prevention and warning. Flood forecasting models available today have evolved technologically but are subject to limitations due to the lack of data and limited community participation. This paper presents the Hydrological Alert Model with Participatory Basis (HAMPB) model, an approach for integrating water level data reported by citizens, which has the advantage of being inexpensive and potentially highly available, with traditional data to improve flood forecasting. The model assimilates spatiotemporal water levels measured in the field when they are available through a real‐time estimator. We added random perturbations of up to |10| and |15| cm to those data using the Monte Carlo Method to mimic the uncertainty in citizen science data collection. Applying the HAMPB model for urban nested‐scale catchments (0.11 km2 ≤ Area ≤ 21.84 km2) in Brazil shows: (a) significant improvements in flood simulations when field data was assimilated even considering the volunteered data uncertainty; (b) capability to update simulations in more than one point in the semi‐distributed hydrological model by a regionalization method; and (c) flood hazard indexes and their uncertainties show better estimations using field data for updating.
The spatial analysis of social media data has recently emerged as a significant source of knowledge for urban studies. Most of these analyses are based on an areal unit that is chosen without the support of clear criteria to ensure representativeness with regard to an observed phenomenon. Nonetheless, the results and conclusions that can be drawn from a social media analysis to a great extent depend on the areal unit chosen, since they are faced with the wellknown Modifiable Areal Unit Problem. To address this problem, this article adopts a data-driven approach to determine the most suitable areal unit for the analysis of social media data. Our multicriteria optimization framework relies on the Pareto optimality to assess candidate areal units based on a set of user-defined criteria. We examine a case study that is used to investigate rainfall-related tweets and to determine the areal units that optimize spatial autocorrelation patterns through the combined use of indicators of global spatial autocorrelation and the variance of local spatial autocorrelation. The results show that the optimal areal units (30 km 2 and 50 km 2 ) provide more consistent spatial patterns than the other areal units and are thus likely to produce more reliable analytical results.
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