Determining SARS-CoV-2 viral infectivity is crucial for patient clinical assessment and isolation decisions. We assessed subgenomic RNA (sgRNA) as a surrogate marker of SARS-CoV-2 infectivity in SARS-CoV-2-positive reverse transcription PCR (RT-PCR) respiratory samples (
n
= 105) in comparison with viral culture as the reference standard for virus replication. sgRNA and viral isolation results were concordant in 99/105 cases (94%), indicating highly significant agreement between the two techniques (Cohen’s kappa coefficient 0.88, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.78 to 0.97,
P
< 0.001). sgRNA RT-PCR showed a sensitivity of 97% and a positive predictive value of 94% to detect replication-competent virus, further supporting sgRNA as a surrogate marker of SARS-CoV-2 infectivity. sgRNA RT-PCR is an accurate, rapid, and affordable technique that can overcome culture and cycle threshold (
C
T
) value limitations and be routinely implemented in hospital laboratories to detect viral infectivity, which is essential for optimizing patient monitoring, the efficacy of treatments/vaccines, and work reincorporation policies, as well as for safely shortening isolation precautions.
Background
SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR provides a highly variable cycle-threshold (Ct) value that cannot distinguish viral infectivity. Subgenomic RNA (sgRNA) has been used to monitor active replication. Given the importance of long RT-PCR positivity and the need for work reincorporation and discontinuing isolation, we studied the functionality of normalized viral loads (NVL) for patient monitoring and sgRNA for viral infectivity detection.
Methods
NVL measured through the Nucleocapsid and RNA-dependent-RNA-polymerase genes and sgRNA RT-PCRs were performed in 2 consecutive swabs from 84 health-care workers.
Results
NVL provided similar and accurate quantities of both genes of SARS-CoV-2 at two different time-points of infection, overcoming Ct-value and swab collection variability. Among SARS-CoV-2-positive samples, 51.19% were sgRNA-positive in the 1 stRT-PCR and 5.95% in the 2 ndRT-PCR. All sgRNA-positive samples had >4log10RNAcopies/1000cells, while samples with ≤1log10 NVL were sgRNA-negative. Although NVL were positive until 29 days after symptom onset, 84.1% of sgRNA-positive samples were from the first 7 days, which correlated with viral culture viability. Multivariate analyses showed that sgRNA, NVL and days of symptoms were significantly associated (p<0.001)
Conclusions
NVL and sgRNA are two rapid accessible techniques that could be easily implemented in routine hospital practice providing a useful proxy for viral infectivity and COVID-19 patient follow-up.
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