An important issue in finance is whether noise traders, those who act on information that has no value, influence prices. Recent research indicates that investor sentiment affects the return distribution of a few categories of assets in some stock markets. Other studies also document that US investor sentiment is contagious. This paper investigates whether Consumer Confidence (CC) and the Economic Sentiment Indicator (ESI) -as proxies for investor sentiment -affects Portuguese stock market returns, at aggregate and industry levels, for the period between 1997 to 2009. Moreover the impact of US investor sentiment on Portuguese stock market returns is also addressed. We find several interesting results. First, our results provide evidence that consumer confidence index and ESI are driven by both, rational and irrational factors. Second, ESI is significantly negative related to stock returns. Sentiment negatively forecasts aggregate stock market returns, but not all industry indices returns. Finally, we don't find a contagious effect of US investor sentiment in Portuguese market returns.JEL classification: G10, G11.

This paper analyses the contribution of digital financial services to financial inclusion in Mozambique, based on the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model, for the period from January 2011 to September 2019. We study two models to analyse the contribution of digital financial services to financial inclusion (measured by the number of bank accounts) in Mozambique. The first model uses traditional digital means of payments as independent variables, such as the volume of financial transactions through automated teller machines (ATMs), point-ofsales (POSs), electronic transfers of inter and intrabank funds, direct debit, and domestic and crossborder remittances. The second model considers innovative digital means of payments, such as internet banking, mobile banking and electronic money. We conclude that, excluding domestic remittances and direct debit, which present low levels of penetration in the country, and internet banking transactions, the remaining variables contribute to financial inclusion. Our results confirm the crucial role that digital financial services play in financial inclusion, particularly in improving access to and the use of services by the under-served population.

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