The COVID-19 epidemic hit Italy particularly hard, yielding the implementation of strict national lockdown rules. Previous modelling studies at the national level overlooked the fact that Italy is divided into administrative regions which can independently oversee their own share of the Italian National Health Service. Here, we show that heterogeneity between regions is essential to understand the spread of the epidemic and to design effective strategies to control the disease. We model Italy as a network of regions and parameterize the model of each region on real data spanning over two months from the initial outbreak. We confirm the effectiveness at the regional level of the national lockdown strategy and propose coordinated regional interventions to prevent future national lockdowns, while avoiding saturation of the regional health systems and mitigating impact on costs. Our study and methodology can be easily extended to other levels of granularity to support policy- and decision-makers.

Humans interact in groups through various perception and action channels. The continuity of interaction despite a transient loss of perceptual contact often exists and contributes to goal achievement. Here, we study the dynamics of this continuity, in two experiments involving groups of participants ($$N=7$$ N = 7 ) synchronizing their movements in space and in time. We show that behavioural unison can be maintained after perceptual contact has been lost, for about 7s. Agent similarity and spatial configuration in the group modulated synchronization performance, differently so when perceptual interaction was present or when it was memorized. Modelling these data through a network of oscillators enabled us to clarify the double origin of this memory effect, of individual and social nature. These results shed new light into why humans continue to move in unison after perceptual interruption, and are consequential for a wide variety of applications at work, in art and in sport.

Synchronization of human networks is fundamental in many aspects of human endeavour. Recently, much research effort has been spent on analyzing how motor coordination emerges in human groups (from rocking chairs to violin players) and how it is affected by coupling structure and strength. Here we uncover the spontaneous emergence of leadership (based on physical signaling during group interaction) as a crucial factor steering the occurrence of synchronization in complex human networks where individuals perform a joint motor task. In two experiments engaging participants in an arm movement synchronization task, in the physical world as well as in the digital world, we found that specific patterns of leadership emerged and increased synchronization performance. Precisely, three patterns were found, involving a subtle interaction between phase of the motion and amount of influence. Such patterns were independent of the presence or absence of physical interaction, and persisted across manipulated spatial configurations. Our results shed light on the mechanisms that drive coordination and leadership in human groups, and are consequential for the design of interactions with artificial agents, avatars or robots, where social roles can be determinant for a successful interaction.

Changes in extracellular ion concentrations are known to modulate neuronal excitability and play a major role in controlling the neuronal firing rate, not just during the healthy homeostasis, but also in pathological conditions such as epilepsy. The microscopic molecular mechanisms of field effects are understood, but the precise correspondence between the microscopic mechanisms of ion exchange in the cellular space of neurons and the macroscopic behavior of neuronal populations remains to be established. We derive a mean field model of a population of Hodgkin–Huxley type neurons. This model links the neuronal intra- and extra-cellular ion concentrations to the mean membrane potential and the mean synaptic input in terms of the synaptic conductance of the locally homogeneous mesoscopic network and can describe various brain activities including multi-stability at resting states, as well as more pathological spiking and bursting behaviors, and depolarizations. The results from the analytical solution of the mean field model agree with the mean behavior of numerical simulations of large-scale networks of neurons. The mean field model is analytically exact for non-autonomous ion concentration variables and provides a mean field approximation in the thermodynamic limit, for locally homogeneous mesoscopic networks of biophysical neurons driven by an ion exchange mechanism. These results may provide the missing link between high-level neural mass approaches which are used in the brain network modeling and physiological parameters that drive the neuronal dynamics.