In this paper we consider Susceptible Infectious Recovered (SIR) epidemics on random graphs with clustering. To incorporate group structure of the underlying social network, we use a generalized version of the configuration model in which each node is a member of a specified number of triangles. SIR epidemics on this type of graph have earlier been investigated under the assumption of homogeneous infectivity and also under the assumption of Poisson transmission and recovery rates. We extend known results from literature by relaxing the assumption of homogeneous infectivity both in individual infectivity and between different kinds of neighbours. An important special case of the epidemic model analysed in this paper is epidemics in continuous time with arbitrary infectious period distribution. We use branching process approximations of the spread of the disease to provide expressions for the basic reproduction number , the probability of a major outbreak and the expected final size. In addition, the impact of random vaccination with a perfect vaccine on the final outcome of the epidemic is investigated. We find that, for this particular model, equals the perfect vaccine-associated reproduction number. Generalizations to groups larger than three are discussed briefly.
We study a system of interacting urns where balls of different colour/type compete for their survival, and annihilate upon contact. For competition between two types, the underlying graph (finite and connected), determining the interaction between the urns, is known to be irrelevant for the possibility of coexistence, whereas for K ≥ 3 types the structure of the graph does affect the possibility of coexistence. We show that when the underlying graph is a cycle, competition between K ≥ 3 types almost surely has a single survivor, thus establishing a conjecture of Griffiths, Janson, Morris and the first author. Along the way, we give a detailed description of an auto-annihilative process on the cycle, which can be perceived as an expression of the geometry of a Möbius strip in a discrete setting.We shall in this paper be concerned with a model of interacting urns where balls of different type annihilate upon contact. Previous work [2] have revealed that the spatial component, in this setting, has an effect on the eventual fate of the process, as we describe further below. The annihilative feature of the process has in the physics literature been
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