Public reporting burden for the collection of information is estimated to average 1 hour per response, including the time for reviewing instructions, searching existing data sources, gathering and maintaining the data needed, and completing and reviewing the collection of information. Send comments regarding this burden estimate or any other aspect of this collection of information, including suggestions for reducing this burden, to Washington Headquarters Services, Directorate for Information Operations and Reports, 1215 Jefferson Davis Highway, Suite 1204, Arlington VA 22202-4302. Respondents should be aware that notwithstanding any other provision of law, no person shall be subject to a penalty for failing to comply with a collection of information if it does not display a currently valid OMB control number. REPORT DATE MAY 20122 Same as Report (SAR)18 Dealing with North Korean Provocations around the Northern Limit Line 19Ken E. Gause Potential Flashpoints in the East China Sea 35Bonnie S. Glaser Conflicting Claims in the East China Sea 45Mark E. Rosen Chinese and Japanese Geo-Strategic Interests in the East China Sea 61Richard Bush China's Evolving Interests and Activities in the East China Sea 69Daniel M. Hartnett Workshop Agenda 79ii CNA Maritime Asia Project IntroductionBecause security concerns in East Asia have increasingly revolved around problems in the maritime domain, the Center for Naval Analyses has elected to make maritime security in East Asia the focal point for a series of workshops that will explore these issues in depth.In recent months, the South China Sea has been the most discussed East Asian maritime security issue. Still, a credible case can be made that the co-terminus Yellow and East China seas have all the ingredients necessary to become another maritime center of competition in East Asia. In fact, this maritime basin, because of the cross-strait issue, did fulfill that role during much of the post-Cold War era.Beijing, Tokyo, and Seoul all have important disputes over sovereignty and exclusive economic zones (EEZs) in these waters. Disputes over seabed resources and fishing occur frequently. The East China Sea/Yellow Sea basin is essentially home waters for the navies of China, Japan, and both Koreas. As a result, it is a "lo- CNA Maritime Asia ProjectWorkshop One: The Yellow and East China Seas continental powers, China understands that historically these waters were the routes that the West crossed to attack China. Beijing considers them its "near seas," and has embarked upon a military program to ensure that it can establish sea control over these "first island chain" maritime basins. The Yellow SeaThe first thing to understand about the Yellow Sea is that its southern extremity is not clearly defined. TheInternational Hydrographic Organization in Monaco, which has the international charter for defining mari- Economic centralityThe Yellow Sea is an incredibly important economic The Korean maritime boundary disputeThe most serious security concern in the Yellow Sea is al...

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Public reporting burden for the collection of information is estimated to average 1 hour per response, including the time for reviewing instructions, searching existing data sources, gathering and maintaining the data needed, and completing and reviewing the collection of information. Send comments regarding this burden estimate or any other aspect of this collection of information, including suggestions for reducing this burden, to Washington Headquarters Services, Directorate for Information Operations and Reports, 1215 Jefferson Davis Highway, Suite 1204, Arlington VA 22202-4302. Respondents should be aware that notwithstanding any other provision of law, no person shall be subject to a penalty for failing to comply with a collection of information if it does not display a currently valid OMB control number. This document contains the best opinion of the authors at the time of issue.Cleared for public release. Distribution unlimited. Available at www.cna.org. Copyright © 2014 CNAThis work was created in the performance of Federal Government Contract Number N00014-11-D-0323. Any copyright in this work is subject to the Government's Unlimited Rights license as defined in DFARS 252.227-7013 and/or DFARS 252.227-7014.Strategic Studies is a division of CNA. This directorate conducts analyses of security policy, regional analyses, studies of political-military issues, and strategy and force assessments. CNA Strategic Studies is part of the global community of strategic studies institutes and in fact collaborates with many of them.On-the-ground experience is a hallmark of our regional work. Our specialists combine in-country experience, language skills, and the use of local primary-source data to produce empirically based work. All of our analysts have advanced degrees, and virtually all have lived and worked abroad.Similarly, our strategists and military/naval operations experts either have active duty experience or have served as field analysts with operating Navy and Marine Corps commands. They are skilled at anticipating the "problem after next" as well as determining measures of effectiveness to assess ongoing initiatives. A particular strength is bringing empirical methods to the evaluation of peacetime engagement and shaping activities.The Strategic Studies Division's charter is global. In particular, our analysts have proven expertise in the following areas:

Public reporting burden for the collection of information is estimated to average 1 hour per response, including the time for reviewing instructions, searching existing data sources, gathering and maintaining the data needed, and completing and reviewing the collection of information. Strategic Studies is a division of CNA. This directorate conducts analyses of security policy, regional analyses, studies of political-military issues, and strategy and force assessments. CNA Strategic Studies is part of the global community of strategic studies institutes and in fact collaborates with many of them.On the ground experience is a hallmark of our regional work. Our specialists combine in-country experience, language skills, and the use of local primary-source data to produce empirically based work. All of our analysts have advanced degrees, and virtually all have lived and worked abroad.Similarly, our strategists and military/naval operations experts have either active duty experience or have served as field analysts with operating Navy and Marine Corps commands. They are skilled at anticipating the "problem after next" as well as determining measures of effectiveness to assess ongoing initiatives. A particular strength is bringing empirical methods to the evaluation of peace-time engagement and shaping activities.The Strategic Studies Division's charter is global. In particular, our analysts have proven expertise in the following areas: The full range of Asian security issues  The full range of Middle East related security issues, especially Iran and the Arabian Gulf  Maritime strategy  Insurgency and stabilization  Future national security environment and forces