China is one of very few countries to escape the world financial crisis and experienced only a mild slowdown in economic activity without a recession. Experts point out that the global financial crisis in United States has had no major impact on China. Also, it has been estimated that China was less affected by the financial meltdown than other countries, due to its more closed financial system. The aim of this paper is to investigate the effects of the global financial crisis on Chinese economy. For this reason we have studied two models; one is the E-GARCH Model, which estimated the effect of the crisis on the Chinese stock exchange, and second is the Extended Gravity Model with Panel Least Square Method, which examined how China's exports have been affected by the global financial crisis. Our empirical results suggest that global financial crisis moderately impacted the Chinese stock exchange and but it badly affected China's exports.
Emerging market countries need capital inflows to finance their current account deficits since their domestic savings are not at desired levels. Foreign direct investment is the appreciated form of capital inflows. However, indirect capital inflows can also boost growth if used in a proper manner. If a country has weak fundamentals and institutional structures or there exists an external shock, speculative foreign capital can easily and rapidly fly away while leaving a financial crisis behind. In this study, we summarize the theoretical background of sudden stops, and then try to identify the sudden stops in Turkey for 1996-2009 period and question the reasons of such disruptions. We particularly focus on periods just before and after the global financial crises. To identify a sudden stop period we use "means" and "volatilities" as well as changes in capital inflows/GDP ratios. Finally, we attempt to find out inflow control mechanisms to minimize the volatility of capital movements.
This study examines the impact of the global financial crisis on the stock markets returns of China, Japan, India, and USA through E-GARCH model. In addition, it investigates the nature of volatility spillovers between stock indices during the global financial meltdown employing Granger Causality test. Daily stock prices are used for the period from 6th of January, 2006 to 22nd of April 2011. The main findings are as follows. First, in all stock markets high volatility and setback on the daily returns exist due to the financial crisis. Further the global financial crisis less affected Shanghai stock exchange than the other stock markets whereas it influenced the USA stock markets in large extent. Also stock returns volatility get moderated in the major Asian Countries stock markets after post crisis period but it has been remained in the USA stock exchanges. Secondly, Granger causality test shows that after the onset of the financial crisis, the USA stock markets have bidirectional influences on the each of other market, but didn't receive any volatility spillover from major Asian Countries stock markets. Indian stock market experiences volatility spillover from all the stock markets. Japanese stock market receives volatility spillover only from USA stock markets. However, Shanghai stock exchange doesn't experience any volatility spillover from the other stock markets.
This study set out to examine impact of the global financial crisis on the stock markets returns of China, Japan, India, and USA through E-GARCH model and further it investigates the nature of volatility spillovers between stock indices during the global financial meltdown using Granger Causality test. Daily stock prices are used for the period from 6th of January, 2006 to 22nd of April 2011. The main findings are as follows; in all stock markets high volatility and setback on the daily returns exist due to the financial crisis. Further the global financial crisis less affected China's stock exchange than the other stock markets whereas it influenced USA stock markets in large extent. Also stock returns volatility get moderated in the major Asian Countries stock markets after post crisis period but it has been remained in USA stock exchanges. Granger causality test shows that after the onset of the financial crisis, the USA stock markets have bidirectional influences on each other, but didn't receive any volatility spillover from major Asian Countries stock markets. Indian stock market receives volatility spillover from all the stock markets. Japanese stock market receives volatility spillover only from USA stock markets. Chinese stock exchange doesn't receive any volatility spillover from stock exchanges which examined in this paper.
Latest global financial crisis that shrank the credit market affected the companies' financial policies since the credit contraction led the firms to rely more on their own resources rather than external financing. The expectation during such crises is more equity issues along with less borrowing. In economic literature there are some evidence supporting this fact for developed countries. As an emerging country Turkey's case is different than that of advanced countries. The era commenced with Lehman turmoil by passed Turkish economy in the first years due to the solid, strong and healthy banking sector due to the measurements taken after 2001 banking crisis of Turkey. Therefore, international lenders did not hesitate directing their funds to Turkish banks. As a result, Turkish companies did not suffer in financing their investments through bank loans. Moreover, the growth policy of Turkey based on current account deficit supported Turkish economy and in turn the firms due to the abundance of liquidity after the peak of the crisis. In this work we examined 164 industrial firms that are traded on Borsa Istanbul to see if there happened to be a shift in their financing preferences during the recent global crisis. We found that the importance of borrowing had not decreased and that contradicts the expectations. As of equity issues, before and after 2009 no radical change has been observed. In 2009 where the crisis hit worst Turkish economy leading a 4.7% GDP decrease, the equity issues were doubled.
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