Purpose Although treatment planning and individualized dose application for emerging prostate-specific membrane antigen (PSMA)-targeted radioligand therapy (RLT) are generally recommended, it is still difficult to implement in practice at the moment. In this study, we aimed to prove the concept of pretherapeutic prediction of dosimetry based on imaging and laboratory measurements before the RLT treatment. Methods Twenty-three patients with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC) treated with 177Lu-PSMA I&T RLT were included retrospectively. They had available pre-therapy 68 Ga-PSMA-HEBD-CC PET/CT and at least 3 planar and 1 SPECT/CT imaging for dosimetry. Overall, 43 cycles of 177Lu-PSMA I&T RLT were applied. Organ-based standard uptake values (SUVs) were obtained from pre-therapy PET/CT scans. Patient dosimetry was calculated for the kidney, liver, spleen, and salivary glands using Hermes Hybrid Dosimetry 4.0 from the planar and SPECT/CT images. Machine learning methods were explored for dose prediction from organ SUVs and laboratory measurements. The uncertainty of these dose predictions was compared with the population-based dosimetry estimates. Mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) was used to assess the prediction uncertainty of estimated dosimetry. Results An optimal machine learning method achieved a dosimetry prediction MAPE of 15.8 ± 13.2% for the kidney, 29.6% ± 13.7% for the liver, 23.8% ± 13.1% for the salivary glands, and 32.1 ± 31.4% for the spleen. In contrast, the prediction based on literature population mean has significantly larger MAPE (p < 0.01), 25.5 ± 17.3% for the kidney, 139.1% ± 111.5% for the liver, 67.0 ± 58.3% for the salivary glands, and 54.1 ± 215.3% for the spleen. Conclusion The preliminary results confirmed the feasibility of pretherapeutic estimation of treatment dosimetry and its added value to empirical population-based estimation. The exploration of dose prediction may support the implementation of treatment planning for RLT.

It is still debating if individualized dose should be applied for the emerging PSMA-targeted radionuclide therapy (RLT). A critical consideration in this debate is the necessity and feasibility of individual estimation of post-therapy dosimetry before the treatment. In this study, we aimed to prove the concept of individual dosimetry prediction based on pre-therapy imaging and laboratory measurements. Methods: 23 patients with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC) treated with 177Lu-PSMA-I&T RLT were included retrospectively. Included patients had available pre-therapeutic 68Ga-PSMA-HEBD-CC PET/CT and at least 3 planar and 1 SPECT/CT dosimetry imaging. Overall, 43 cycles of 177Lu-PSMA I&T RLT were applied. Organ-based standard uptake value (SUV) uptake was obtained from pretherapy PET/CT scans. Patient individual dosimetry was calculated for kidney, liver, spleen, and salivary glands using Hermes Hybrid Dosimetry 4.0 from the post-treatment 177Lu-PSMA I&T imaging studies. Machine learning methods were explored for individual dose prediction from PET images. The accuracy of these dose predictions was compared with the accuracy of population-based dosimetry estimates. Mean absolute percentage error was used to assess the prediction error of estimated dosimetry. Results: An optimal machine learning method achieved a dosimetry prediction error of 15.8 ± 13.2% for kidney, 29.6%±13.7% for liver, 23.8%±13.1% for salivary glands and 32.1 ± 31.4% for spleen. In contrast, the prediction based on literature population mean has significantly larger error (p < 0.01), 25.5 ± 17.3% for kidney, 139.1%±111.5% for liver, 67.0 ± 58.3% for salivary glands, and 54.1 ± 215.3% for spleen. Conclusion: The preliminary results confirmed the feasibility of individual estimation of post-therapy dosimetry before the RLT and its added value to empirical population-based estimation. The exploration of individual dose prediction may support the identification of the role of treatment planning for RLT.