In this 14-year prospective study, men and women were found to share a common set of risk factors for hip fracture: low BMD, postural instability and/or quadriceps weakness, a history of falls, and prior fracture. The combination of these risk factors accounted for 57% and 37% of hip fractures in women and men, respectively. Introduction: Risk factors for hip fracture, including low BMD, identified in women, have not been shown to be useful in men. It is also not known whether fall-related factors (muscle strength and postural instability) predict hip fracture. This study examined the association between falls-related factors and hip fractures in elderly men and women. Materials and Methods: This is an epidemiologic, community-based prospective study, which included 960 women and 689 men Ն60 years of age who have been followed for a median of 12 years (interquartile range, 6-13). The number of person-years was 9961 for women and 4463 for men. The outcome measure was incidence of hip fracture. Risk factors were femoral neck BMD (FNBMD), postural sway, quadriceps strength, prior fracture, and fall. Results: Between 1989 and 2003, 115 (86 women) sustained a hip fracture. The risk of hip fracture (as measured by hazards ratio [HR]) was increased by 3.6-fold (95% CI: 2.6-4.5) in women and 3.4-fold (95% CI: 2.5-4.6) in men for each SD (0.12 g/cm

In elderly men and women, asymptomatic vertebral deformity was found to be associated with subsequent risk of symptomatic fractures, particularly vertebral fracture, and increased risk of mortality after a fracture.Introduction: Vertebral deformity is associated with an increased risk of fracture and mortality. However, it is unclear whether the three events of vertebral deformity, fracture, and mortality are linked with each other and what role BMD plays in these linkages. Materials and Methods: Vertebral deformity was determined from quantitative analysis of thoracolumbar spine X-rays in 300 randomly individuals (114 men and 186 women) ജ60 years of age (as of mid-1989), who were randomly selected from the prospective Dubbo Osteoporosis Epidemiology Study. Incidence of atraumatic fractures and subsequent mortality were ascertained from 1989 to 2003. Cox's proportional hazards model was used to determine the association between asymptomatic vertebral deformities, osteoporotic fractures, and risk of mortality. Results: The prevalence of asymptomatic vertebral deformity was 31% in men and 17% in women. During the follow-up period, subjects with vertebral deformity had a significantly higher risk of any fracture than those without vertebral deformity (44% versus 29%; hazards ratio [HR], 2.2; 95% CI, 1.4-3.7), particularly symptomatic vertebral fracture (relative risk [RR], 7.4; 95% CI, 3.2-17.0). Mortality rate was highest after a symptomatic fracture among those with vertebral deformity (HR, 9.0; 95% CI, 3.1-26.0). These associations were independent of age, sex, and BMD. Conclusion: Vertebral deformity was a strong predictor of subsequent risk of fractures, particularly symptomatic vertebral fracture, and may modify fracture-associated mortality in both elderly men and women.