In this paper, control of uncertain fractional-order financial chaotic system with input saturation and external disturbance is investigated. The unknown part of the input saturation as well as the system’s unknown nonlinear function is approximated by a fuzzy logic system. To handle the fuzzy approximation error and the estimation error of the unknown upper bound of the external disturbance, fractional-order adaptation laws are constructed. Based on fractional Lyapunov stability theorem, an adaptive fuzzy controller is designed, and the asymptotical stability can be guaranteed. Finally, simulation studies are given to indicate the effectiveness of the proposed method.
Landslide displacement prediction is an important part of monitoring and early warning systems. Effective displacement prediction is instrumental in reducing the risk of landslide disasters. This paper proposes a displacement prediction model based on variational mode decomposition and a genetic algorithm optimization of the Elman neural network (VMD–GA–Elman). First, using VMD, the landslide displacement sequence is decomposed into the three subsequences of the trend term, the periodic term, and the random term. Then, appropriate influencing factors are selected for each of the three subsequences to construct input datasets; the rationality of the selection of the influencing factors is evaluated using the gray correlation analysis method. The GA–Elman model is used to forecast the trend item, periodic item and random item. Finally, the total displacement is obtained by superimposing the three subsequences to verify the performance of the model. A case study of the Shuizhuyuan landslide (China) is presented for the validation of the developed model. The results show that the model in this paper is in good agreement with the actual situation and has good prediction accuracy; it can, therefore, provide a basis for early warning systems for landslide displacement and deformation.
Landslide displacement prediction is a challenging research task that can help to reduce the occurrence of landslide disasters. The frequent occurrence of extreme weather increases the probability of landslides, and the subsequent increase in the superimposed economic development level exacerbates disaster losses, emphasizing the importance of landslide prediction. The collection of landslide monitoring data is the foundation of landslide displacement prediction, but the lack of various data severely limits the effectiveness of the landslide monitoring system. To address the issue of missing data during the landslide monitoring process, this paper proposes a time series prediction model of landslide displacement using mean-based low-rank autoregressive tensor completion (MLATC). Firstly, the reasons for the missing data of landslide displacement are analyzed, and the corresponding dataset of missing data is designed. Then, according to the characteristics and internal correlation of landslide displacement monitoring data, the establishment process of mean-based low-rank tensor completion prediction model is introduced. Finally, the proposed method is used to complete and predict the missing data for the random missing and non-random missing landslide displacement. The results show that the data completion and prediction results of the model are essentially consistent with the original displacement monitoring data of the landslide, and the accuracy and precision are relatively high. It shows that the model has good landslide displacement completion and prediction effects, which can provide a certain reference value for the missing data processing and landslide displacement prediction.
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