We formulate a mathematical model to explore the impact of vaccination and treatment on the transmission dynamics of tuberculosis (TB). We develop a technique to prove that the basic reproduction number is the threshold of global stability of the disease-free and endemic equilibria. We then incorporate a control term and evaluate the cost of control strategies, and then perform an optimal control analysis by Pontryagin's maximum principle. Our numerical simulations suggest that the maximum vaccination strategy should be enforced regardless of its efficacy.
The statistical data of monthly pulmonary tuberculosis (TB) incidence cases from January 2004 to December 2012 show the seasonality fluctuations in Shaanxi of China. A seasonality TB epidemic model with periodic varying contact rate, reactivation rate, and disease-induced death rate is proposed to explore the impact of seasonality on the transmission dynamics of TB. Simulations show that the basic reproduction number of time-averaged autonomous systems may underestimate or overestimate infection risks in some cases, which may be up to the value of period. The basic reproduction number of the seasonality model is appropriately given, which determines the extinction and uniform persistence of TB disease. If it is less than one, then the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable; if it is greater than one, the system at least has a positive periodic solution and the disease will persist. Moreover, numerical simulations demonstrate these theorem results.
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