This study examined the effect of monetary policy on value of stock traded in Nigerian Stock Exchange. Specifically, we ascertained the effect of monetary policy rate, liquidity ratio and loan to deposit ratio on value of stock traded using the Autoregressive Distribute Lag (ARDL) based on annual data from 1986 to 2017. Our findings showed that monetary policy rate, liquidity ratio and loan to deposit ratio have no significant effect on value of stock traded. Monetary policy rate maintained a negative relationship with value of stock traded, while liquidity ratio and loan to deposit ratio positively correlated with value of stock traded. We are vehemently of the view that expansionary monetary policy that guarantees adequate liquidity in the economy should be pursued vigorously by the Central Bank of Nigeria. Adequate level of liquidity offers firms’ in the stock market better access to financial resources which will increase their revenue and thus appreciation in their stocks trading.
Purpose: This article presents a study on the effect of fiscal policy on stock market development in an emerging West African economy with an emphasis on Nigeria for the period of 1986 to 2018. Specifically, we evaluated the effect of fiscal deficit on all share index including government total expenditure on market capitalization ratio, the value of stock traded, and turnover ratio using data from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) and Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE). Methods: The Auto-regressive Distributive Lag (ARDL) was the estimation technique employed in ascertaining the nature of the short-run relationship between fiscal policy and stock market development indices, whereas the effect of fiscal policy on stock market development was actualized under the granger causality analysis. Results: The result of the analysis revealed that fiscal deficit has no significant effect on all share index; government total expenditure has no significant effect on stock market capitalization ratio; government total expenditure has a significant effect on the value of stock traded ratio; government total expenditure has no significant effect on the stock market turnover ratio. Implication: Government should implement its fiscal policies to carefully accommodate the development of the stock market, as changes in fiscal policy affect the overall activities in the market and ultimately the economy.
The nexus between monetary policy and stock market return has remained a topic of debate in the literature. We determined whether stock market return in Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE) is affected by monetary policy or not. To this end, we employed the Autoregressive Distribute Lag (ARDL) model using data from 1986 to 2018 bearing in mind that our conclusion in this subject matter may be used to make assertion by other researchers who have interest in this area of study in finance. We are convinced beyond reasonable doubt based on the data we employed that the stock market return in Nigeria is not significantly affected by adjustments in monetary policy instruments of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN): The apex regulator of the financial system in Nigeria. This paper wholeheartedly reflects the opinion that the Central Bank of Nigeria should consider reducing the current double digit monetary policy rate to a single digit say 9% at most to attract investments in the stock market. This would reduce the prime lending rate because, high interest rate reduces cash flows of firms quoted in the exchange, and thus contraction in values of securities traded on the market.
The purpose of this study is to examine the impact of foreign direct investment on the growth of the Nigerian economy. The Autoregressive Distributive Lag (ARDL) technique was used to analyze data spanning the years 1986 to 2019. The preliminary findings of the ARDL suggested that foreign direct investment and economic development in Nigeria had a long-run link. According to the stated finding, foreign direct investment has a considerable positive link with the rate of real gross domestic product growth. Similarly, total exports are positively correlated with the pace of real gross domestic product growth. On the other hand, total non-oil imports and exchange rates show a considerable negative association with the pace of real GDP growth. The Granger causality test indicated that foreign direct investment inflows into Nigeria had no discernible influence on the growth rate of real gross domestic product throughout the study period. Similarly, the pace of real gross domestic product growth is not greatly impacted by the quantity of total exports, total non-oil imports, or exchange rate fluctuations. This report suggested that trade obstacles be removed, particularly those imposed by customs and port officials. Structural trade-oriented policies should be implemented to stimulate economic growth in Nigeria through increased exports in order to attract additional investors and strengthen the country's output growth rate.
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