In this paper we present inference methods which are based on an ‘incorrect’ criterion, in the sense that the optimization of this criterion does not directly provide a consistent estimator of the parameter of interest. Moreover, the argument of the criterion, called the auxiliary parameter, may have a larger dimension than that of the parameter of interest. A second step, based on simulations, provides a consistent and asymptotically normal estimator of the parameter of interest. Various testing procedures are also proposed. The methods described in this paper only require that the model can be simulated, therefore they should be useful for models whose complexity rules out a direct approach. Various fields of applications are suggested (microeconometrics, finance, macroeconometrics).
This book deals with a new generation of econometric methods leading to criterion functions without simple analytical expression. The difficulty often comes from the presence of integrals of large dimension in the probability density function or in the moments, and the idea is to circumvent this numerical difficulty by an approach based on simulation. The main methods considered are the methods of Simulated Moments, Simulated Maximum Likelihood, Simulated Pseudo‐Maximum Likelihood, Simulated Non‐Linear Least Squares, and Indirect Inference. These methods are applied to Limited Dependent Variables Models, to Financial Series, and to Switching Regime Models.
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