Mineral shortages can be avoided if the mineral industry accurately predicts mineral deposits, which is critical given the importance of minerals in Ghana's economy. The goal of this dissertation was to use the block maxima (BM) approach of Extreme Value Theory (EVT) to accurately predict gold (Au) concentration and the time period of occurrence of these geochemical anomalies in Ghana's Wassa-Amenfi region. The information was based on a time series of daily gold concentrations collected between 2010 and 2018 by Ghana's geology and survey department. The shape parameter estimates from the analysis indicated that the Fréchet family of GEV distributions was a good fit for the dataset. The GEV model was used to forecast the occurrence of anomalies every 2, 5, 10, 20, 50, and 100 years. According to the findings, an extreme Au of 31.06 was expected to occur once every 5 years in Wassa-Amenfi.
Chlamydia Genital infection has been a global health issue especially among most developing countries. Although, a lot of researchers have modelled CT infection to determine the impact of different intervals between Chlamydia infection and the development of Pelvic Inflammatory Disease (PID) on the cost-effectiveness of screening and the use of Chlamydia vaccine. This paper seeks to model the dynamics of Chlamydia Trachomatis (CT) infection among females who were diagnosed of vaginal discharge and the likelihood of developing PID complications. The model was formulated using a sexual network to explore the relationship between Chlamydia infection through diagnosed vaginal infection and PID. A sample of 147 females were diagnosed and screened of Chlamydia related symptoms on a routine check-up in the Tarkwa Nsuaem Municipality in the Western part of Ghana. Lyapunov functions was used to prove the necessary and sufficient conditions for Stability State of the system while Next Generation Method was also used to calculate the basic reproduction number (R 0 ). The Stability Analysis of the Modified SIRS model shows that the system is locally and asymptotically stable at the Disease-Free Equilibrium (DFE) E 0 , when R 0 <1, and when R 0 >1, the Endemic Equilibrium (EE) E * , was found to be locally and asymptotically stable at certain conditions. It was observed that, as the distribution increases sharply at a given contact rate (β) of 0.05, many of the patients were infected within the first three days as compared to when the contact rate was 0.001. Moreover, at contact rates (β) of 0.5, R 0 was greater than one, this shows how CT infection spreads in the population using parameter values in Table 1. Thus, the effects of change in the various initial conditions of the parameters (λ) and (β) on vaginal discharge and PID infections, turn to increase sharply at a higher infection rate for the first ten days of infection especially with vaginal discharge and then become stable over a period of time. This confirms the incubation period which is usually 7 to 10 days of infection. The paper concludes that, young women aged 18-24 years are more at risk of Chlamydia Trachomatis infection if diagnosed of vaginal discharge or PID and suggest early medication which is highly subsidised will help curb the spread of CT infection in the Municipality.
Generally, the constant change in demographic trends among the aged depict gradual increase in the size of the aged population globally. The aged population is often capitalised with degenerative conditions such as chronic illness which affect their ability to function effectively and often require special support. Despite the increase in the size of the aged population and their associated degenerative conditions, very few descriptive studies on the determinants of chronic illness among the aged has been researched especially in developing countries such as Ghana and there is no compelling evidence on the association of chronic illness and its determinants. Thus, this study seeks to analyse and predict the impact of age, gender, education, marital status, Quality of Life (QoL), social cohesion, settlement and depression on chronic illness among the aged population in Ghana. From the studies a Multinomial Logit Regression (MLR) was employed to analyse the data obtained from the Ghana Statistical Service (GSS) under, Ageing and Adult Health (SAGE), 2012. It was revealed that out of the 1384 sampled, 71% had no chronic illness whilst 22% and 7% had one and two or more chronic illness respectively. Again, it was observed that, Depression State, Gender, Marital Status and Settlement Type (rural or urban) play significant roles in determining the likelihood of the aged getting chronic illness while Physical Function, Social Cohesion, QoL, Age and Education Level were not statistically significant determinants of chronic illness. Our findings demonstrate that chronic illness among the aged is constantly increasing in Ghana especially in the urban communities and need to be addressed urgently through governmental policies and programs in the quest to help salvage the deteriorating conditions of the aged. Keywords: Aged Population, Multinomial Logit Model, Chronic Illness
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