Metalearning attracted considerable interest in the machine learning community in the last years. Yet, some disagreement remains on what does or what does not constitute a metalearning problem and in which contexts the term is used in. This survey aims at giving an all-encompassing overview of the research directions pursued under the umbrella of metalearning, reconciling different definitions given in scientific literature, listing the choices involved when designing a metalearning system and identifying some of the future research challenges in this domain.
In research of time series forecasting, a lot of uncertainty is still related to the task of selecting an appropriate forecasting method for a problem. It is not only the individual algorithms that are available in great quantities; combination approaches have been equally popular in the last decades. Alone the question of whether to choose the most promising individual method or a combination is not straightforward to answer. Usually, expert knowledge is needed to make an informed decision, however, in many cases this is not feasible due to lack of resources like time, money and manpower. This work identifies an extensive feature set describing both the time series and the pool of individual forecasting methods. The applicability of different meta-learning approaches are investigated, first to gain knowledge on which model works best in which situation, later to improve forecasting performance. Results show the superiority of a rankingbased combination of methods over simple model selection approaches.
Rapidly evolving businesses generate massive amounts of time-stamped data sequences and cause a demand for both univariate and multivariate time series forecasting. For such data, traditional predictive models based on autoregression are often not sufficient to capture complex nonlinear relationships between multidimensional features and the time series outputs. In order to exploit these relationships for improved time series forecasting while also better dealing with a wider variety of prediction scenarios, a forecasting system requires a flexible and generic architecture to accommodate and tune various individual predictors as well as combination methods. In reply to this challenge, an architecture for combined, multilevel time series prediction is proposed, which is suitable for many different universal regressors and combination methods. The key strength of this architecture is its ability to build a diversified ensemble of individual predictors that form an input to a multilevel selection and fusion process before the final optimized output is obtained. Excellent generalization ability is achieved due to the highly boosted complementarity of individual models further enforced through cross-validation-linked training on exclusive data subsets and ensemble output postprocessing. In a sample configuration with basic neural network predictors and a mean combiner, the proposed system has been evaluated in different scenarios and showed a clear prediction performance gain.
The need to bridge between the unstructured data on the Document Web and the structured data on the Web of Data has led to the development of a considerable number of annotation tools. However, these tools are currently still hard to compare since the published evaluation results are calculated on diverse datasets and evaluated based on different measures. We present GERBIL, an evaluation framework for semantic entity annotation. The rationale behind our framework is to provide developers, end users and researchers with easy-to-use interfaces that allow for the agile, fine-grained and uniform evaluation of annotation tools on multiple datasets. By these means, we aim to ensure that both tool developers and end users can derive meaningful insights pertaining to the extension, integration and use of annotation applications. In particular, GERBIL provides comparable results to tool developers so as to allow them to easily discover the strengths and weaknesses of their implementations with respect to the state of the art. With the permanent experiment URIs provided by our framework, we ensure the reproducibility and archiving of evaluation results. Moreover, the framework generates data in machineprocessable format, allowing for the efficient querying and post-processing of evaluation results. Finally, the tool diagnostics provided by GERBIL allows deriving insights pertaining to the areas in which tools should be further refined, thus allowing developers to create an informed agenda for extensions and end users to detect the right tools for their purposes. GERBIL aims to become a focal point for the state of the art, driving the research agenda of the community by presenting comparable objective evaluation results.
There are no algorithms that generally perform better or worse than random when looking at all possible data sets according to the no-free-lunch theorem. A specific forecasting method will hence naturally have different performances in different empirical studies. This makes it impossible to draw general conclusions, however, there will of course be specific problems for which one algorithm performs better than another in practice. Meta-learning exploits this fact by linking characteristics of the data set to the performances of methods, adapting the selection or combination of base methods to a specific problem. This contribution describes an approach using meta-learning for time series forecasting in the NN GC1 competition. In order to generate bigger and more reliable meta-data set, data of the past NN3 and NN5 competitions have been included. A pool of individual forecasting and combination models are combined using a ranking algorithm with weights being determined by past performance on similar series.
scite is a Brooklyn-based organization that helps researchers better discover and understand research articles through Smart Citations–citations that display the context of the citation and describe whether the article provides supporting or contrasting evidence. scite is used by students and researchers from around the world and is funded in part by the National Science Foundation and the National Institute on Drug Abuse of the National Institutes of Health.
customersupport@researchsolutions.com
10624 S. Eastern Ave., Ste. A-614
Henderson, NV 89052, USA
This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.
Copyright © 2024 scite LLC. All rights reserved.
Made with 💙 for researchers
Part of the Research Solutions Family.