Purpose: One of the main challenges of lung cancer research is identifying patients at high risk for recurrence after surgical resection. Simple, accurate, and reproducible methods of evaluating individual risks of recurrence are needed. Experimental Design: Based on a combined analysis of time-to-recurrence data, censoring information, and microarray data from a set of 138 patients, we selected statistically significant genes thought to be predictive of disease recurrence. The number of genes was further reduced by eliminating those whose expression levels were not reproducible by real-time quantitative PCR. Within these variables, a recurrence prediction model was constructed using Cox proportional hazard regression and validated via two independent cohorts (n = 56 and n = 59). Results: After performing a log-rank test of the microarray data and successively selecting genes based on real-time quantitative PCR analysis, the most significant 18 genes had P values of <0.05.After subsequent stepwise variable selection based on gene expression information and clinical variables, the recurrence prediction model consisted of six genes (CALB1, MMP7, SLC1A7, GSTA1, CCL19, and IFI44). Two pathologic variables, pStage and cellular differentiation, were developed. Validation by two independent cohorts confirmed that the proposed model is significantly accurate (P = 0.0314 and 0.0305, respectively). The predicted median recurrence-free survival times for each patient correlated well with the actual data. Conclusions: We have developed an accurate, technically simple, and reproducible method for predicting individual recurrence risks. This model would potentially be useful in developing customized strategies for managing lung cancer.
Background and study aims The role of the digital single-operator pancreatoscopy (D-SOP) with electrohydraulic (EHL) or laser lithotripsy (LL) in treating pancreatic ductal stones is unclear. We investigated the safety and efficacy of D-SOP with EHL or LL in patients with obstructing pancreatic duct stones.
Patients and methods Retrospective analysis of 109 patients who underwent D-SOP for pancreatic stones at 17 tertiary centers in the United States and Europe from February 2015 to September 2017. Logistic regression was performed to identify factors associated with the need for more than one D-SOP with EHL/LL.
Results Most patients were males (70.6 %),mean age 54.7 years. Fifty-nine (54.1 %) underwent EHL and 50 (45.9 %) underwent LL. Mean procedure time was longer in the EHL group (74.4 min vs 53.8 min; P < 0.001). Ducts were completely cleared (technical success) in 89.9 % of patients (94.1 % in EHL vs 100 % in LL; P = 0.243), achieved in a single session in 73.5 % of patients (77.1 % by EHL and 70 % by LL; P= 0.5).D-SOP failed in 11 patients (10.1 %); 6 patients were treated with extracorporeal shockwave lithotripsy (ESWL), 1 with surgery,1 with combined treatment (ESWL + D-SOP EHL) and 3 with other. Fourteen adverse events occurred in 11 patients (10.1 %). Patients with more than three ductal stones were more likely to have technical failure compared to those with less than three stones (17 % vs. 4.8 %; P = 0.04). Having more than three stones was independently associated with the need for more than one D-SOC EHL/LL session (OR 2.94, 95 % CI 1.13 – 7.65).
Conclusion D-SOP with EHL or LL is effective and safe in patients with pancreatic ductal stones.
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