Harbor porpoise bycatch estimates for federally managed gillnet fisheries in northwestern Atlantic US waters were calculated for a nine-year period (1999-2007) using two new methods, and the results were compared to the traditionally used stratified ratio estimation method. The aims of this research were to improve on the existing methods for estimating harbor porpoise bycatch for the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic US gillnet fisheries, to provide insight into the causes of harbor porpoise bycatch, and to compare bycatch estimation techniques that could be applied to other fisheries and species. The new methods included a model approach, and a ratio estimation approach that incorporated variables from both the regression model and the existing ratio estimation method. Initially, bycatch was modeled using a GAM forward stepwise process and included testing numerous variables describing the time, duration, and location of the fishing gear, the fishing gear configuration, and the environmental characteristics of the fished waters. The final model was simplified to a GLM and included variables describing port groupings, seasons, bottom depth, stretched mesh size, and year categories. The new mixed variable ratio estimation approach calculated both the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic bycatch estimates within the same framework by using the port groupings and mesh size variables from the model, and the season variable from the traditional ratio estimating approach. Bycatch estimates for the entire study area were similar between modeling and ratio estimator approaches, though estimates for the two new techniques were more stable from year to year in areas with less observed bycatch. The CVs for the model based estimates were much lower than ratio based estimates, and CVs for the two ratio estimation approaches were similar to each other. However, the model CVs may have been artificially low, as the model may have been over-parameterized in an attempt to accurately calculate annual estimates. Despite some differences, the estimates were not significantly different between approaches for the majority of comparisons.
In 1999 the US National Marine Fisheries Service (NMFS) implemented regulations to limit harbor porpoise Phocoena phocoena incidental bycatch in US waters of the northwestern Atlantic. This effort was called the Harbor Porpoise Take Reduction Plan (HPTRP) and included a mixture of time-area closures, pinger and other gear modification requirements, a pinger training program, and outreach and education efforts. This paper focuses on the plan from January 1999 to May 2010 and examines trends in bycatch patterns, compliance with the plan, enforcement of the plan requirements, and changes in the primary fisheries involved in harbor porpoise bycatch. Over the course of the plan harbor porpoise bycatch dropped in the first few years, increased to unacceptable levels during the middle years, and moderated in the later years of the plan. Changes in fishing effort and distribution of key fisheries played a large role in decreasing the bycatch in much of the Mid-Atlantic and also in increasing bycatch in Southern New England and off the coast of New Jersey. The pattern in compliance levels had an inverse relationship with bycatch levels, with better compliance and lower bycatch in early and late years, though compliance was generally poor even when at its best. Enforcement of HPTRP regulations was not well documented, but, from available compliance data, it appears that what enforcement did occur was not sufficient to improve compliance. Given poor compliance with pinger requirements, these requirements have not resulted in the expected reduction in bycatch.
The incidental capture, or bycatch, of loggerhead sea turtles Caretta caretta in commercial fishing gear is considered a significant threat to their recovery. Bycatch analyses that use fishery-dependent data only reflect the spatial and temporal co-occurrence of turtles and fishing effort and therefore do not directly reveal conditions associated with turtle distributions. Fisheryindependent and -dependent data can be used together to identify environmental conditions associated with turtle presence and the subsequent risk of a bycatch encounter if fishing effort is present. We developed generalized additive models (GAMs) to describe fishery-independent encounter rates of loggerheads observed in aerial and resource surveys in the US mid-Atlantic region as a function of environmental variables. We then fit a fishery-independent GAM to fishery-dependent data collected from commercial gillnet, bottom trawl, and scallop dredge fisheries in the mid-Atlantic region, and tested the model on new fishery-dependent data to assess how well the model predicted bycatch events. The preferred model describes fishery-independent encounter rates as a function of latitude, sea-surface temperature, depth, and salinity. When this model was fit to fishery-dependent data and tested on new data, it predicted 85% of the observed bycatch events when grouped by latitude and season, although it underestimated bycatch events in southern latitudes in winter. We identify times and areas of elevated bycatch risk on which to focus future conservation efforts and observer coverage.
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