In late June 2021 a heatwave of unprecedented magnitude impacted the Pacific Northwest region of Canada and the United States. Many locations broke all-time maximum temperature records by more than 5 °C, and the Canadian national temperature record was broken by 4.6 °C, with a new record temperature of 49.6 °C. Here, we provide a comprehensive summary of this event and its impacts. Upstream diabatic heating played a key role in the magnitude of this anomaly. Weather forecasts provided advanced notice of the event, while sub-seasonal forecasts showed an increased likelihood of a heat extreme with lead times of 10-20 days. The impacts of this event were catastrophic, including hundreds of attributable deaths across the Pacific Northwest, mass-mortalities of marine life, reduced crop and fruit yields, river flooding from rapid snow and glacier melt, and a substantial increase in wildfires—the latter contributing to landslides in the months following. These impacts provide examples we can learn from and a vivid depiction of how climate change can be so devastating.
In late June to early July 2021 a heatwave of unprecedented magnitude impacted the Pacific Northwest region, lands colonially named British Columbia (BC) and Alberta (AB) in Canada, and Washington (WA) and Oregon (OR) in the United States. Many locations broke all-time maximum daily temperature records by more than 5°C. The standing Canadian national temperature record was broken on three consecutive days, at multiple locations, with the highest temperature of 49.6°C recorded, 4.6°C higher than the previous Canadian record. Weather forecasts provided advanced notice of the severity of the event, while sub-seasonal forecasts showed substantially increased likelihood of atmospheric blocking and high temperatures with 10-day lead times, and some skill out to 18 days. The impacts of this event were catastrophic. Estimates indicate at least 900 attributable deaths occurred across BC, WA and OR, likely the deadliest weather event in Canadian1 history. The heat contributed to mass-mortalities of marine life, reduced crop and fruit yields, river flooding from rapid snow and glacier melt, and a rapid increase in wildfires—the latter contributing to devastating landslides in the months following.
Fire safety, aviation, wind energy, and structural-engineering operations are impacted by thunderstorm outflow boundaries or gust fronts (GFs) particularly when they occur in mountainous terrain. For example, during the 2013 Arizona Yarnell Hill Fire, 19 firefighters were killed as a result of sudden changes in fire behavior triggered by a passing GF. Knowledge of GF behavior in complex terrain also determines departure and landing operations at nearby airports, and GFs can induce exceptional structural loads on wind turbines. While most examinations of GF characteristics focus on well-organized convection in areas such as the Great Plains, here the investigation is broadened to explore GF characteristics that evolve near the complex terrain of the Colorado Rocky Mountains. Using in situ observations from meteorological towers, as well as data from wind-profiling lidars and a microwave radiometer, 24 GF events are assessed to quantify changes in wind, temperature, humidity, and turbulence in the lowest 300 m AGL as these GFs passed over the instruments. The changes in magnitude for all variables are on average weaker in the Colorado Front Range than those typically observed from organized, severe storms in flatter regions. Most events from this study experience an increase in wind speed from 1 to 8 m s−1, relative humidity from 1% to 8%, and weak vertical motion from 0.3 to 3.6 m s−1 during GF passage while temperature drops by 0.2°–3°C and turbulent kinetic energy peaks at >4 m2 s−2. Vertical profiles reveal that these changes vary little with height in the lowest 300 m.
Strong winds generated by thunderstorm gust fronts can cause sudden changes in fire behavior and threaten the safety of wildland firefighters. Wildfires in complex terrain are particularly vulnerable as gust fronts can be channeled and enhanced by local topography. Despite this, knowledge of gust front characteristics primarily stems from studies of well-organized thunderstorms in flatter areas such as the Great Plains, where the modification of gust fronts by topography is less likely. Here, we broaden the investigation of gust fronts in complex terrain by statistically comparing characteristics of gust fronts that are pushed uphill and propagate atop the Mogollon Rim in Arizona to those that propagate down into and along the Rio Grande Valley in New Mexico. Using operational WSR-88D radars and in-situ observations from Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) stations, 122 gust fronts in these regions are assessed to quantify changes in temperature, wind, relative humidity, and propagation speed as they pass over the weather stations. Gust fronts that propagated down into and along the Rio Grande Valley in New Mexico were generally associated with faster propagation speeds, larger decreases in temperature, and larger increases in wind speeds compared to gust fronts that reached the crest of the Mogollon Rim in Arizona. Gust fronts atop the Mogollon Rim in Arizona behaved less in accordance with density current theory compared to those in the Rio Grande Valley in New Mexico. The potential reasons for these results, and their implications for our understanding of terrain influence on gust front characteristics, are discussed.
<p>In late June 2021 a heatwave of unprecedented magnitude impacted the Pacific Northwest (PNW) region of Canada and the United States. Many locations broke all-time maximum temperature records by more than 5&#176;C, and the Canadian national temperature record was broken by 4.6&#176;C, with the highest recorded temperature 49.6&#176;C. Local records were broken by large margins, even when compared to local records broken during the infamous heatwaves in Europe 2003, and Russian in 2010. A region of high pressure that became stationary over the region (an atmospheric block) was the dominant cause of this heatwave; however, trajectory analysis finds that upstream diabatic heating played a key role in the magnitude of the temperature anomalies. Weather forecasts provided advanced notice of the event, while sub-seasonal forecasts showed an increased likelihood of a heat extreme with 10-20 day lead times, with an increased likelihood of a blocking event seen in forecasts initialized 3 weeks prior to the heatwave peak. The impacts of this event were catastrophic. We provide a summary of some of these impacts, including estimates of hundreds of attributable deaths across the PNW, mass-mortalities of marine life, reduced crop and fruit yields, river flooding from rapid snow and glacier melt, and a substantial increase in wildfires&#8212;the latter contributing to devastating landslides in the months following. These impacts provide examples we can learn from, and a vivid depiction of how climate change can be so devastating.</p>
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