[1] A recent study shows that the blockage of the southwest monsoon by the mountain range on the east coast of Indochina triggers a chain of ocean-atmospheric response, including a wind jet and cold filament in the South China Sea (SCS). We extend this climatological analysis by using higher temporal resolution (weekly) to study intraseasonal variability in summer. Our analysis shows that the development of the wind jet and cold filament is not a smooth seasonal process but consists of several intraseasonal events each year at about 45-day intervals. In a typical intraseasonal event, the wind jet intensifies to above 12 m/s, followed in a week by the development of a cold filament advected by an offshore jet east of South Vietnam on the boundary of a double gyre circulation in the ocean. The double gyre circulation itself also strengthens in response to the intraseasonal wind event via Rossby wave adjustment, reaching the maximum strength in 2 to 3 weeks. The intraseasonal cold filaments appear to influence the surface wind, reducing the local wind speed because of the increased static stability in the near-surface atmosphere. To first order, the above sequence of events may be viewed as the SCS response to atmospheric intraseasonal wind pulses, which are part of the planetary-scale boreal summer intraseasonal oscillation characterized by the northeastward propagation of atmospheric deep convection. The intraseasonal anomalies of sea surface temperature and precipitation are in phase over the SCS, suggesting an oceanic feedback onto the atmosphere. As wind variations are now being routinely monitored by satellite, the lags of 1-3 weeks in oceanic response offer useful predictability that may be exploited.

[1] Subseasonal variability in sea surface height (SSH) over the East Pacific warm pool off Central America is investigated using satellite observations and an eddy-resolving ocean general circulation model. SSH variability is organized into two southwest-tilted bands on the northwest flank of the Tehuantepec and Papagayo wind jets and collocated with the thermocline troughs. Eddy-like features of wavelength $600 km propagate southwestward along the high-variance bands at a speed of 9-13 cm/s. Wind fluctuations are important for eddy formation in the Gulf of Tehuantepec, with a recurring interval of 40-90 days. When forced by satellite wind observations, the model reproduces the two high-variance bands and the phase propagation of the Tehuantepec eddies. Our observational analysis and model simulation suggest the following evolution of the Tehuantepec eddies. On the subseasonal timescale, in response to the gap wind intensification, a coastal anticyclonic eddy forms on the northwest flank of the wind jet and strengthens as it propagates offshore in the following two to three weeks. An energetics analysis based on the model simulation indicates that besides wind work, barotropic and baroclinic instabilities of the mean flow are important for the eddy growth. Both observational and model results suggest a re-intensification of the anticyclonic eddy in response to the subsequent wind jet event. Off Papagayo, ocean eddy formation is not well correlated with local wind jet variability. In both the Gulfs of Tehuantepec and Papagayo, subseasonal SSH variability is preferentially excited on the northwest flank of the wind jet. Factors for this asymmetry about the wind jet axis as well as the origins of wind jet variability are discussed.

This study uses the method of self-organizing maps (SOMs) to categorize the June–August atmospheric teleconnections in the 500-hPa geopotential height field of the Southern Hemisphere (SH) extratropics. This approach yields 12 SOM patterns that provide a discretized representation of the continuum of SH teleconnection patterns from 1979 to 2012. These 12 patterns are large in spatial scale, exhibiting a mix of annular mode characteristics and wave trains of zonal wavenumber varying from 2 to 4. All patterns vary with intrinsic time scales of about 5–10 days, but some patterns exhibit quasi-oscillatory behavior over a period of 20–30 days, whereas still others exhibit statistically significant enhanced and suppressed frequencies up to about four weeks in association with the Madden–Julian oscillation. Two patterns are significantly influenced by El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) on interannual time scales. All 12 patterns have strong influences on surface air temperature and sea ice concentrations, with the sea ice response occurring over a time scale of about 2–4 weeks. The austral winter has featured a positive frequency trend in patterns that project onto the negative phase of the southern annular mode (SAM) and a negative frequency trend in positive SAM-like patterns. Such atmospheric circulation trends over 34 yr may arise through atmospheric internal variability alone, and, unlike other seasons in the SH, it is not necessary to invoke external forcing as a dominant source of circulation trends.