In recently symptomatic carotid stenosis, inflammation-related FDG uptake was associated with early stroke recurrence, independent of the degree of stenosis. Plaque FDG-PET may identify patients at highest risk for stroke recurrence, who may be selected for immediate revascularization or intensive medical treatment.
Background and Purpose-Although symptomatic carotid stenosis is associated with 3-fold increased risk of early stroke recurrence, the pathophysiologic mechanisms of high early stroke risk have not been established. We aimed to investigate the relationship between early stroke recurrence after initial symptoms and histological features of plaque inflammation and instability in resected carotid plaque.
Methods-Carotid
Background and Purpose—
Plaque inflammation contributes to stroke and coronary events.
18
F-fluorodeoxyglucose (FDG) positron emission tomography (PET) identifies plaque inflammation-related metabolism. Almost no prospective data exist on the relationship of carotid
18
F-FDG uptake and early recurrent stroke.
Methods—
We did a multicenter prospective cohort study BIOVASC (Biomarkers/Imaging Vulnerable Atherosclerosis in Symptomatic Carotid disease) of patients with carotid stenosis and recent stroke/transient ischemic attack with 90-day follow-up. On coregistered carotid
18
F-FDG PET/computed tomography angiography,
18
F-FDG uptake was expressed as maximum standardized uptake value (SUV
max
) in the axial single hottest slice. We then conducted a systematic review of similar studies and pooled unpublished individual-patient data with 2 highly similar independent studies (Dublin and Barcelona). We analyzed the association of SUV
max
with all recurrent nonprocedural stroke (before and after PET) and with recurrent stroke after PET only.
Results—
In BIOVASC (n=109, 14 recurrent strokes), after adjustment (for age, sex, stenosis severity, antiplatelets, statins, diabetes mellitus, hypertension, and smoking), the hazard ratio for recurrent stroke per 1 g/mL SUV
max
was 2.2 (CI, 1.1–4.5;
P
=0.025). Findings were consistent in the independent Dublin (n=52, hazard ratio, 2.2; CI, 1.1–4.3) and Barcelona studies (n=35, hazard ratio, 2.8; CI, 0.98–5.5). In the pooled cohort (n=196), 37 recurrent strokes occurred (29 before and 8 after PET). Plaque SUV
max
was higher in patients with all recurrence (
P
<0.0001) and post-PET recurrence (
P
=0.009). The fully adjusted hazard ratio of any recurrent stroke was 2.19 (CI, 1.41–3.39;
P
<0.001) and for post-PET recurrent stroke was 4.57 (CI, 1.5–13.96;
P
=0.008). Recurrent stroke risk increased across SUV
max
quartiles (log-rank
P
=0.003). The area under receiver operating curve for all recurrence was 0.70 (CI, 0.59–0.78) and for post-PET recurrence was 0.80 (CI, 0.64–0.96).
Conclusions—
Plaque inflammation-related
18
F-FDG uptake independently predicted future recurrent stroke post-PET. Although further studies are needed,
18
F-FDG PET may improve patient selection for carotid revascularization and suggest that anti-inflammatory agents may have benefit for poststroke vascular prevention.
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