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Both CSS and GREAT score are useful, although imperfect, tools to predict at baseline relapse of hyperthyroidism after treatment. In real life they may help the clinician to tailor a treatment for newly diagnosed Graves' hyperthyroidism.

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Purpose According to a few recent studies, the clinical phenotype of Graves’ disease (GD) at onset is becoming milder in recent years, in terms of prevalence and severity of hyperthyroidism, goiter and overt eye disease. The aim of this study was to assess the change in GD phenotype across the late twentieth and the early twenty-first centuries. Materials and methods We carried out a systematic search of studies published between 1/1/1980 and 12/31/2017 describing naïve GD patients at diagnosis. We collected epidemiological, clinical, biochemical and serological data reported in the selected studies, and (1) conducted a single-arm meta-analysis to compare clinical and biochemical characteristics of naïve GD patients before and after year 2000 and (2) performed a meta-regression to identify the trend of the observed clinical presentations. Results Eighty selected articles were related to the period before the year 2000, 30 to the years 2000–2017. According to demographics, the two defined populations were homogeneous at meta-analysis: overall estimated female prevalence was 81% [95% CI 79–82], mean estimated age of the entire population was 39.8 years [95% CI 38.4–41.1], with no significant differences between pre- and post-2000 groups (p > 0.05). The overall estimated prevalence of smokers was 40% [95% CI 33–46], with no significant difference between the two groups (p > 0.05). Mean estimated free thyroxine (FT4) and free triiodothyronine (FT3) levels at diagnosis were higher in the pre-2000 group: 4.7 ng/dl [95% CI 4.5–4.9] for FT4 and 14.2 pg/ml [95% CI 13.3–15.1] for FT3, as compared to the post-2000 group: 3.9 ng/dl [95% CI 3.6–4.2] for FT4 and 12.1 pg/ml [95% CI 11.0–13.3] for FT3 (all p < 0.01). Goiter estimated prevalence was higher in the pre-2000 group, 87% [95% CI 84–90], than in the post-2000 group, 56% [95% CI 45–67]. Estimated prevalence for Graves’ Orbitopathy (GO) was 34% [95% CI 27–41] in the pre-2000 group and 25% [95% CI 19–30] in the post-2000 group (p = 0.03). Accordingly, meta-regression adjusted for covariates showed an average annual reduction of FT4 (− 0.040 ± 0.008 ng/dl, p < 0.0001), FT3 (− 0.316 ± 0.019 pg/ml, p < 0.0001), goiter prevalence (− 0.023 ± 0.008%, p = 0.006), and goiter size (− 0.560 ± 0.031 ml, p < 0.0001). Conclusions Our meta-analysis and meta-regression confirmed that GD phenotype at diagnosis is nowadays milder than in the past; we hypothesize that conceivable factors involved in this change are iodoprophylaxis, worldwide decrease in smoking habits, larger use of contraceptive pill and micronutrient supplementation, as well as earlier diagnosis and management.

Background Whether differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) occurring concomitantly with Graves' disease (GD) is more aggressive and bound to a less favorable outcome is controversial. Objective Aim of this multicenter retrospective study was to compare baseline features and outcome of DTC patients with GD (DTC/GD+) or without GD (DTC/GD−). Patients Enrolled in this study were 579 patients referred to five endocrine units (Cagliari, Pavia, Pisa, Siena, and Varese) between 2005 and 2014: 193 patients had DTC/GD+ , 386 DTC/GD−. Patients were matched for age, gender and tumor size. They underwent surgery because of malignancy, large goiter size, or relapse of hyperthyroidism in GD. Results Baseline DTC features (histology, lymph node metastases, extrathyroidal extension) did not differ in the two groups, except for multifocality which was significantly more frequent in DTC/GD+ (27.5% vs. 7.5%, p < 0.0001). At the end of follow-up (median 7.5 years), 86% of DTC/GD+ and 89.6% DTC/GD− patients were free of disease. Patients with persistent or recurrent disease (PRD) had "biochemical disease" in the majority of cases. Microcarcinomas were more frequent in the DTC/GD+ group (60% vs. 37%, p < 0.0001) and had an excellent outcome, with no difference in PRD between groups. However, in carcinomas ≥ 1 cm, PRD was significantly more common in DTC/GD+ (24.4% vs. 11.5%; p = 0.005). In the whole group, univariate and multivariate analyses showed that GD+ , lymph node involvement, extrathyroidal invasion, multifocality and tall cell histotype were associated with a worse outcome. Female gender and microcarcinomas were favorable features. No association was found between baseline TSH-receptor antibody levels and outcome. Graves' orbitopathy (GO) seemed to be associated with a better outcome of DTC, possibly because patients with GO may early undergo surgery for hyperthyroidism. Conclusions GD may be associated with a worse outcome of coexisting DTC only if cancer is ≥ 1 cm, whereas clinical outcome of microcarcinomas is not related to the presence/absence of GD. KeywordsThyroid carcinoma • Graves' disease • Outcome • Thyroidectomy • Graves' orbitopathy • TSH-receptor antibody • Radioiodine P. Premoli and M. L. Tanda equally contributed to this study.