The increasing availability of high frequency data has initiated many new research areas in statistics. Functional data analysis (FDA) is one such innovative approach towards modelling time series data. In FDA, densely observed data are transformed into curves and then each (random) curve is considered as one data object. A natural, but still relatively unexplored, context for FDA methods is related to financial data, where high-frequency trading currently takes a significant proportion of trading volumes. Recently, articles on functional versions of the famous ARCH and GARCH models have appeared. Due to their technical complexity, existing estimators of the underlying functional parameters are moment based-an approach which is known to be relatively inefficient in this context. In this paper, we promote an alternative quasi-likelihood approach, for which we derive consistency and asymptotic normality results. We support the relevance of our approach by simulations and illustrate its use by forecasting realised volatility of the S&P100 Index.
We consider a strictly stationary functional time series. Our target is to study the weak convergence of the discrete Fourier transforms under sharp conditions. As a side-result we obtain the regular CLT for partial sums under mild assumptions.
We study the periodogram operator of a sequence of functional data. Using recent advances in Gaussian approximation theory, we derive the asymptotic distribution of the maximum norm over all fundamental frequencies. We consider the case where the noise variables are independent and then generalize our results to functional linear processes. Our theory can be used for detecting periodic signals in functional time series when the length of the period is unknown. We demonstrate the proposed methodology in a simulation study as well as on real data.
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