AimsThe purpose of this study was to evaluate the additional prognostic value of echocardiography in acute decompensation of advanced chronic heart failure (CHF), focusing on right ventricular (RV) dysfunction and its interaction with loading conditions. Few data are available on the prognostic role of echocardiography in acute HF and on the significance of pulmonary hypertension in patients with severe RV failure. Methods and resultsA total of 265 NYHA IV patients admitted for acute decompensation of advanced CHF (EF 22 ± 7%, systolic blood pressure 107 ± 20 mmHg) were prospectively enrolled. Fifty-nine patients met the primary composite endpoint of cardiac death, urgent heart transplantation, and urgent mechanical circulatory support implantation at 90 days. Pulmonary hypertension failed to predict events, while patients with a low transtricuspid systolic gradient (TR gradient <20 mmHg) showed a worse outcome [hazard ratio (HR) 2.37, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.12-5.00, P = 0.02]. RV dysfunction [tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion (TAPSE) ≤14 mm] in the presence of a low TR gradient identified patients at higher risk of events (HR 2.97, 95% CI 1.19-7.41, P = 0.02). Multivariate analysis showed as best predictors of outcome low RV contraction pressure index (RVCPI), defined as TAPSE × TR gradient, and high estimated right atrial pressure (eRAP). Adding RVCPI (<400 mm*mmHg) and eRAP (≥20 mmHg) to conventional clinical (ADHERE risk tree and NT-proBNP) and echocardiographic risk evaluation resulted in an increase in net reclassification improvement of +19.1% and +20.1%, respectively (P = 0.01) and in c-statistic from 0.59 to 0.73 (P < 0.01).

The survival rate of heart transplant patients is increasing, underlying the need for accurate predictors of adverse events during clinical follow-up. Myocardial performance index (MPI) is a Doppler-derived index of combined systolic and diastolic function: we assessed the prognostic role of MPI in survival of patients >1 year after heart transplantation (HT). A total of 152 consecutive HT patients referred to our institution were enrolled in this prospective study. Primary endpoints were cardiac death and a composite of major adverse cardiac events (MACE). During follow-up (69 ± 22 months), 68 (44.7%) patients had an adverse event and 20 (13.15%) patients died. Patients with MACE during follow-up showed lower EF (57.3 ± 9.3 vs. 63 ± 6.1; P < 0.001) and higher MPI (0.45 ± 0.19 vs. 0.31 ± 0.13; P < 0.001) at enrolment. MPI and EF were independently related to MACE (OR = 2.2; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.01-5.1; and OR = 6.6; 95% CI = 3.5-11.2, respectively) and showed strong diagnostic power (MPI: receiver operating characteristic [ROC] area = 79%, with 79% sensitivity and 81% specificity; EF: ROC area = 77%, with 54% sensitivity and 91% specificity) in the subsequent year. Patients with EF > 50% and MPI < 0.45 at enrolment showed 75% event-free survival 5 years after HT. In HT patients, MPI combined with EF was an accurate means of predicting long-term adverse events.

Recurrent asymptomatic diffuse capillary C4d immunostaining may play a role in the early development of cardiac allograft adverse remodeling and dysfunction.

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