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Simulation experiments using a simplified atmospheric GCM and supplementary diagnostic analyses of observations are performed to understand how the South Asian monsoon trough (MT) responds dynamically to latent heating from mesoscale convective systems (MCSs). Observations reveal that the MT during active monsoons is characterized by a deep cyclonic vorticity extending from the surface to 350 hPa and organized MCSs covering over 3500-4000 km along the Indo-Gangetic plains. The MCSs during active monsoons are composed of a relatively higher abundance of stratiform-type precipitation (mostly nimbostratus) as compared to the convective type. The results suggest that a stratiform-type heating profile is very effective in promoting upward development of continental-scale cyclonic circulation well above the midtroposphere over the MT region. The vertical development involves a dynamical uplift of the layer of cyclonic circulation and is induced by midlevel (600-500 hPa) convergence and vorticity stretching above 500 hPa. By varying the population of stratiform and convective rain types in the simulation, the horizontal scale of midlevel vorticity response is shown to increase significantly with stratiform population; in contrast, the midlevel response is more localized when the MCS is dominated by deep convective clouds. For large stratiform populations, the midlevel response is found to extend far westward up to the northern flanks of the African ITCZ, indicative of Rossby wave dispersion of PV anomalies that are generated near the level of maximum heating gradient. From the present findings, one can conclude that the vertical deepening of MT during active monsoons is not merely a localized phenomenon; instead it represents a large-scale dynamical response to organized MCSs that exert pivotal influence on the upward development of cyclonic circulation well above the midtroposphere.

Midtropospheric cyclones (MTCs) are a distinct class of synoptic disturbances, characterized by quasi-stationary cyclonic circulation in midtropospheric levels, which often produce heavy rainfall and floods over western India during the summer monsoon. This study presents a composite and diagnostic process study of long-lived (>5 days) midtropospheric cyclonic circulation events identified by the India Meteorological Department (IMD). Reanalysis data confirm earlier studies in revealing that the MTC composite has its strongest circulation in the midtroposphere. Lagged composites show that these events co-occur with broader-scale monsoon evolution, including larger synoptic-scale low pressure systems over the Bay of Bengal (BoB) and east coast, and the active phase of regional-scale poleward-propagating intraseasonal rain belts, with associated drying ahead (north) of the convectively active area. Diabatic heating composites, in particular the TRMM latent heating and Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications, version 2 (MERRA-2)-derived radiative cooling in the dry inland areas of southwest Asia north of the rain belt, are used to drive a nonlinear multilayer dynamical model in a forced-damped reconstruction of the global circulation. Results show that the midlevel circulation is largely attributable to top-heavy latent heating, indicative of the prevalence of stratiform-type precipitation in mesoscale convective systems in these moist, active larger-scale settings. Both the west coast and BoB latent heating are important, while the radiative cooling over southwest Asia plays a modest role in sharpening some of the simulated features. A conceptual model encapsulates the paradigm based on this composite and diagnostic modeling, a diabatic update of early theoretical studies that emphasized hydrodynamic flow instabilities.

A highlight of the 2006 boreal summer monsoon season was the enhanced activity of long-lived monsoon depressions and low-pressure systems (LPS) over the Indian region. Another important phenomenon during this period was the evolution of a positive Indian Ocean Dipole (PIOD) event. Although previous studies have investigated the impact of PIOD on the large-scale monsoon response, their influence on monsoon LPS activity is not well understood. Based on detailed diagnostic analyses of monsoon LPS during 2006, as well as those associated with other PIOD events during 1958-2007, the present work addresses two specific issues concerning the roles of (a) PIOD-induced large-scale circulation changes and (b) internal feedbacks between latent heating and dynamics, in sustaining the monsoon LPS activity. The results show that PIOD conditions generally favour increased propensity of long-lived (>5 days) LPS with long westward tracks extending into northwest India. The average contribution of long-lived monsoon LPS to the total is found to be approximately 12% higher during PIOD episodes as compared to non-PIOD. The PIOD events showed two important large-scale elements conducive for enhancement of LPS activity: (a) strengthening of cross-equatorial moisture transport from south-eastern tropical Indian Ocean into the Bay of Bengal and (b) enrichment of barotropic instability of monsoon flow. Estimates of latent-heating profiles from TRMM-satellite products during the 2006 LPS showed heating in the mesoscale updrafts above 600 hPa with maximum approximately 400 hPa; while cooling prevailed in lower levels. Stratiform precipitation covered approximately 70-85% of rain area during the prolonged LPS; and the large-scale monsoon Hadley-type circulation was found to be intensified with strong mid-level inflows entering the stratiform rain region. The overall findings suggest that the PIOD-induced background circulation together with internal feedbacks between mesoscale convective systems and large-scale circulation can effectively enhance the longevity of monsoon LPS. These results should serve as important inputs for numerical weather forecasting of extreme rainfall events associated with the regional monsoon phenomenon.