Purpose -This paper aims to deal with the estimation of the empirical Bayesian exact confidence limits of reliability indexes of a cold standby series system with (n þ k 2 1) units under the general progressive Type II censoring scheme. Design/methodology/approach -Assuming that the lifetime of each unit in the system is identical and independent random variable with exponential distribution, the exact confidence limits of the reliability indexes are derived by using an empirical Bayes approach when an exponential prior distribution of the failure rate parameter is considered. The accuracy of these confidence limits is examined in terms of their coverage probabilities by means of Monte-Carlo simulations. Findings -The simulation results show that accuracy of exact confidence limits of reliability indexes of a cold standby series system is efficient. Therefore, this approach is good enough to use for reliability practitioners in order to improve the system reliability. Practical implications -When items are costly, the general progressive Type II censoring scheme is used to reduce the total test time and the associated cost of an experiment. The proposed method provides the means to estimate the exact confidence limits of reliability indexes of the proposed cold standby series system under this scheme. Originality/value -The application of the proposed technique will help the reliability engineers/managers/system engineers in various industrial and other setups where a cold standby series system is widely used.
The comparison of empirical Bayes and generalized maximum likelihood estimates of reliability performances is made in terms of risk efficiencies when the data are progressively Type II censored from Rayleigh distribution. The empirical Bayes estimates are obtained using an asymmetric loss function. The risk functions of the estimates and risk efficiencies are obtained under this loss function. A real data set is presented to illustrate the proposed comparison method, and the performance of the estimates is examined and compared in terms of risk efficiencies by means of Monte Carlo simulations. The simulation results indicate that the proposed empirical Bayes estimates are more preferable than the generalized maximum likelihood estimates.
In this paper, hierarchical Bayes approach is presented for estimation and prediction of reliability indexes and remaining lifetimes of a cold standby series system under general progressive Type II censoring scheme. A simulation study has been carried out for comparison purpose. The study will help reliability engineers in various industrial series system setups.
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