Accurate forecasting of hourly water demand is essential for effective and sustainable operation, and the cost-effective management of water distribution networks. Unlike monthly or yearly water demand, hourly water demand has more fluctuations and is easily affected by short-term abnormal events. An effective preprocessing method is needed to capture the hourly water demand patterns and eliminate the interference of abnormal data. In this study, an innovative preprocessing framework, including a novel local outlier detection and correction method Isolation Forest (IF), an adaptive signal decomposition technique Complete Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition with Adaptive Noise (CEEMDAN), and basic forecasting models have been developed. In order to compare a promising deep learning method Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) as a basic forecasting model with the conventional forecasting models, Support Vector Regression (SVR) and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) have been used. The results show that the proposed hybrid method can utilize the complementary advantages of the preprocessing methods to improve the accuracy of the forecasting models. The root-mean-square error of the SVR, ANN, and GRU models has been reduced by 57.5%, 27.8%, and 30.0%, respectively. Further, the GRU-based models developed in this study are superior to the other models, and the IF-CEEMDAN-GRU model has the highest accuracy. Hence, it is promising that this preprocessing framework can improve the performance of the water demand forecasting models.
Effective ways to optimise real-time pump scheduling to maximise energy efficiency are being sought to meet the challenges in the energy market. However, the considerable number of evaluations of popular optimisation methods based on metaheuristics cause significant delays for real-time pump scheduling, and the simplification of traditional deterministic methods may introduce bias towards the optimal solutions. To address these limitations, an exploration-enhanced deep reinforcement learning (DRL) framework is proposed to address real-time pump scheduling problems in water distribution systems. The experimental results indicate that E-PPO can learn suboptimal scheduling policies for various demand distributions and can control the application time to 0.42 s by transferring the online computation-intensive optimisation task offline. Furthermore, a form of penalty of the tank level was found that can reduce energy costs by up to 11.14% without sacrificing the water level in the long term. Following the DRL framework, the proposed method makes it possible to schedule pumps in a more agile way as a timely response to changing water demand while still controlling the energy cost and level of tanks.
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