Universityof the West of Scotland 0.685 to 0.795). Comparison of the ROC curves between NEWS total score and qSOFA using DeLong's test showed NEWS total score to be superior to qSOFA at predicting combined ICU admission within 48 hours of presentation or 30-day mortality (p=0.011).
ConclusionsOur study shows qSOFA can identify patients at risk of adverse outcomes in the pre-hospital setting. However, NEWS is superior to qSOFA in a pre-hospital environment at identifying patients at risk of adverse outcomes.
Physiological deterioration often precedes clinical deterioration as patients develop critical illness. Use of a specific Paediatric Early Warning Score (PEWS), based on basic physiological measurements, may help identify children prior to their clinical deterioration. NHS Scotland has adopted a single national PEWS-PEWS (Scotland). We aim to look at the utility of PEWS (Scotland) in unselected paediatric ambulance patients. Methods A retrospective cohort of all ambulance patients aged under 16 years conveyed to hospital in Scotland between 2011 and 2015. Patients were matched to their 30 day mortality and ICU admission using data linkage. Results Full results were available for 21,202 children and young people (CYP). On multivariate logistic regression, PEWS (Scotland) was an independent predictor of the primary outcome (ICU admission within 48 hours or death within 30 days) with an odds ratio of 1.403 (95%CI 1.349 to 1.460, p<0.001). Area Under Receiving Operator Curve (AUROC) for aggregated PEWS was 0.797 (95% CI 0.759 to 0.836 ,p<0.001). The optimal PEWS using Youlden's Index was 5. Discussion These data show PEWS (Scotland) to be a useful tool in a pre-hospital setting. A single set of physiological observations undertaken prior to arrival at hospital can identify a group of children at higher risk of an adverse in-hospital outcome. Paediatric care is becoming more specialised and focussed on a smaller number of centres. In this context, use of PEWS in the pre-hospital phase may allow changes to paediatric pre-hospital pathways to improve both admission to ICU and child mortality rates.
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