This paper is divided into three parts. Taken together, the three parts intend to provide the reader with an overview of the first 101 years of financial economics, with particular attention on those developments that are of special interest to actuaries. In Section 1, S.F. Whelan attempts to capture the flavour of the subject and, in particular, to give an overview or road map of this discipline, highlighting actuarial input. In Section 2, D.C. Bowie gives a concise and self-contained overview of the Modigliani and Miller insights (or MM Theorems, as they are often known). In Section 3, A.J. Hibbert considers the novel option pricing method proposed by Black, Merton, and Scholes. These two insights are highlights of this newscience, and, in both cases, contradict our intuition.T.S. Elliot, the mathematically trained poet, described the darkness that intercedes between the idea and the action as the ‘shadow’. There is a shadow to be considered between these insights and their application. The demonstration of the results requires, of course, some idealised circumstances, and therefore the extent and degree of their applicability to the non- idealised problems encountered by actuaries requires some delicate considerations. An attempt is made to outline these further considerations.
In countries with large scale private and public funded pension arrangements, for example, the United States, Canada, Japan, the Netherlands, and the United Kingdom, one of the key decisions is how the contributions into the fund should be invested to best effect. The investment decision typically results in some form of risk sharing between members and sponsor in terms of (1) the level of contributions required to pay for all promised benefits, (2) the volatility of contributions required, and (3) the uncertainty of the level of benefits actually deliverable should the scheme be wound up or have to be wound up. Some of the risks associated with the pension benefits have a clear link with the economy and hence with other instruments traded in the financial markets. Others, such as demographic risks and the uncertainty as to how members or the sponsor will exercise their options, which are often far from being economically optimal, are less related to the assets held in the fund.
This article describes broadly what assets are available to the institutional investor, how an investor might go about deciding on an asset allocation, and explore what the possible consequences of an asset allocation might be.
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