Flash droughts are a recently recognized type of extreme event distinguished by sudden onset and rapid intensification of drought conditions with severe impacts. They unfold on subseasonal-to-seasonal timescales (weeks to months), presenting a new challenge for the surge of interest in improving subseasonal-to-seasonal prediction. Here we discuss existing prediction capability for flash droughts and what is needed to establish their predictability. We place them in the context of synoptic to centennial phenomena, consider how they could be incorporated into early warning systems and risk management, and propose two definitions. The growing awareness that flash droughts involve particular processes and severe impacts, and probably a climate change dimension, makes them a compelling frontier for research, monitoring and prediction.

We demonstrate control of short and long quantum trajectories in high harmonic emission through the use of an orthogonally polarized two color field. By controlling the relative phase φ between the two fields we show via classical and quantum calculations that we can steer the 2-dimensional trajectories to return, or not, to the core and so control the relative strength of the short or long quantum trajectory contribution. In experiments we demonstrate that this leads to robust control over the trajectory contributions using a drive field from a femtosecond laser composed of the fundamental ω at 800 nm (intensity ∼ 1.2 × 10 14 W cm −2 ) and its weaker orthogonally polarized second harmonic 2ω (intensity ∼ 0.3 × 10 14 W cm −2 ) with the relative phase between the ω and 2ω fields varied simply by tilting a fused silica plate. This is the first demonstration of short and long quantum trajectory control at the single-atom level.High harmonic generation (HHG) has been extensively studied in the last decade as, for instance, a tool to generate attosecond pulses [1] and to measure both fast nuclear dynamics [2] and hole migration in molecular cations [3,4]. Measuring nuclear and electron dynamics from the emitted harmonics is termed HHG spectroscopy and has hitherto concentrated upon isolating the contribution of the electron trajectories that return most quickly to the core [5] (the short trajectories) to provide a well defined temporal mapping for the emission of different frequency harmonics in the spectrum [2]. To extend these measurement concepts we would like to harness the second set of quantum trajectories, the long trajectories, which return after a longer time in the continuum and so increase the temporal range available in the measurement. Ideally this should be done without changing any other aspect of the experimental conditions e.g. the intensity. Hitherto long trajectories could only be optimised by adjusting the macroscopic phase-matching, a procedure that inevitably alters the experimental intensity. We demonstrate a simple experimental technique that provides a powerful tool to achieve the direct selection of the quantum trajectories for a single atom without changing the field intensity. We find that the phase between two orthogonally polarized fields at ω and 2ω determines whether the momentum transfer from the 2ω field permits or frustrates the recollision. We observed that the phases of the second harmonic field that optimise the recollision differ by π/2 for the short and long trajectory. This provides robust control over the single atom quantum trajectories and allows to efficiently switch between trajectories, shifting the emission time for some harmonics by more than 0.3 of an optical period.In the simplified picture, commonly applied to describe HHG, an electron is ionised near the peak of the laser electric field and is driven away from its parent ion. When the field changes direction, the electron is driven back and may recombine [5], emitting a photon with fre- quency that is an odd multip...

Flash droughts can be distinguished by rapid intensification from near-normal soil moisture to drought conditions in a matter of weeks. Here, we provide the first characterisation of a climatology of flash drought across Australia using a suite of indices. The experiment is designed to capture a range of conditions related to drought: evaporative demand describes the atmospheric demand for moisture from the surface; precipitation, the supply of moisture from the atmosphere to the surface; and evaporative stress, the supply of moisture from the surface relative to the demand from the atmosphere. We show that regardless of the definition, flash droughts occur in all seasons. They can terminate as rapidly as they start, but in some cases can last many months, resulting in a seasonal-scale drought. We show that flash-drought variability and its prevalence can be related to phases of the El Niño–Southern Oscillation, highlighting scope for seasonal-scale prediction. Using a case study in southeast Australia, we show that monitoring precipitation is less useful for capturing the onset of flash drought as it occurs. Instead, indices like the Evaporative Demand Drought Index and Evaporative Stress Index are more useful for monitoring flash-drought development.

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We demonstrate enhancement by 1 order of magnitude of the high-order harmonics generated in argon by combining a fundamental field at 1300 nm (10(14) W cm(-2)) and its orthogonally polarized second harmonic at 650 nm (2 × 10(13) W cm(-2)) and by controlling the relative phase between them. This extends earlier work by ensuring that the main effect is the combined field steering the electron trajectory with negligible contribution from multiphoton effects compared to the previous schemes with 800/400 nm fields. We access a broad energy range of harmonics (from 20 eV to 80 eV) at a low laser intensity (far below the ionization saturation limit) and observe deep modulation of the harmonic yield with a period of π in the relative phase. Strong field theoretical analysis reveals that this is principally due to the steering of the recolliding electron wave packet by the two-color field. Our modeling also shows that the atto chirp can be controlled, leading to production of shorter pulses.