Early-stage estrogen receptor-positive (ER+) breast cancer (BCa) is the most common type of BCa in the United States. One critical question with these tumors is identifying which patients will receive added benefit from adjuvant chemotherapy. Nuclear pleomorphism (variance in nuclear shape and morphology) is an important constituent of breast grading schemes, and in ER+ cases, the grade is highly correlated with disease outcome. This study aimed to investigate whether quantitative computer-extracted image features of nuclear shape and orientation on digitized images of hematoxylin-stained and eosinstained tissue of lymph node-negative (LN−), ER+ BCa could help stratify patients into discrete (<10 years short-term vs. >10 years long-term survival) outcome groups independent of standard clinical and pathological parameters. We considered a tissue microarray (TMA) cohort of 276 ER+, LN− patients comprising 150 patients with long-term and 126 patients with short-term overall survival, wherein 177 randomly chosen cases formed the modeling set, and 99 remaining cases the test set. Segmentation of individual nuclei was performed using multiresolution watershed; subsequently, 615 features relating to nuclear shape/texture and orientation disorder were extracted from each TMA spot. The Wilcoxon’s rank-sum test identified the 15 most prognostic quantitative histomorphometric features within the modeling set. These features were then subsequently combined via a linear discriminant analysis classifier and evaluated on the test set to assign a probability of long-term vs. short-term disease-specific survival. In univariate survival analysis, patients identified by the image classifier as high risk had significantly poorer survival outcome: hazard ratio (95% confident interval) = 2.91(1.23–6.92), p = 0.02786. Multivariate analysis controlling for T-stage, histology grade, and nuclear grade showed the classifier to be independently predictive of poorer survival: hazard ratio (95% confident interval) = 3.17(0.33–30.46), p = 0.01039. Our results suggest that quantitative histomorphometric features of nuclear shape and orientation are strongly and independently predictive of patient survival in ER+, LN− BCa.

Early stage estrogen receptor positive (ER+) breast cancer (BCa) treatment is based on the presumed aggressiveness and likelihood of cancer recurrence. Oncotype DX (ODX) and other gene expression tests have allowed for distinguishing the more aggressive ER+ BCa requiring adjuvant chemotherapy from the less aggressive cancers benefiting from hormonal therapy alone. However these tests are expensive, tissue destructive and require specialized facilities. Interestingly BCa grade has been shown to be correlated with the ODX risk score. Unfortunately Bloom-Richardson (BR) grade determined by pathologists can be variable. A constituent category in BR grading is tubule formation. This study aims to develop a deep learning classifier to automatically identify tubule nuclei from whole slide images (WSI) of ER+ BCa, the hypothesis being that the ratio of tubule nuclei to overall number of nuclei (a tubule formation indicator - TFI) correlates with the corresponding ODX risk categories. This correlation was assessed in 7513 fields extracted from 174 WSI. The results suggests that low ODX/BR cases have a larger TFI than high ODX/BR cases (p < 0.01). The low ODX/BR cases also presented a larger TFI than that obtained for the rest of cases (p < 0.05). Finally, the high ODX/BR cases have a significantly smaller TFI than that obtained for the rest of cases (p < 0.01).

The treatment and management of early stage estrogen receptor positive (ER1) breast cancer is hindered by the difficulty in identifying patients who require adjuvant chemotherapy in contrast to those that will respond to hormonal therapy. To distinguish between the more and less aggressive breast tumors, which is a fundamental criterion for the selection of an appropriate treatment plan, Oncotype DX (ODX) and other gene expression tests are typically employed. While informative, these gene expression tests are expensive, tissue destructive, and require specialized facilities. Bloom-Richardson (BR) grade, the common scheme employed in breast cancer grading, has been shown to be correlated with the Oncotype DX risk score. Unfortunately, studies have also shown that the BR grade determined experiences notable inter-observer variability. One of the constituent categories in BR grading is the mitotic index. The goal of this study was to develop a deep learning (DL) classifier to identify mitotic figures from whole slides images of ER+ breast cancer, the hypothesis being that the number of mitoses identified by the DL classifier would correlate with the corresponding Oncotype DX risk categories. The mitosis detector yielded an average F-score of 0.556 in the AMIDA mitosis dataset using a 6-fold validation setup. For a cohort of 174 whole slide images with early stage ER+ breast cancer for which the corresponding Oncotype DX score was available, the distributions of the number of mitoses identified by the DL classifier was found to be significantly different between the high vs low Oncotype DX risk groups (P < 0.01). Comparisons of other risk groups, using both ODX score and histological grade, were also found to present significantly different automated mitoses distributions. Additionally, a support vector machine classifier trained to separate low/ high Oncotype DX risk categories using the mitotic count determined by the DL classifier yielded a 83.19% classification accuracy.

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