The novel coronavirus infection (COVID-19) that was first identified in China in December 2019 has spread across the globe rapidly infecting over ten million people. The World Health Organization (WHO) declared it as a pandemic on March 11, 2020. What makes it even more critical is the lack of vaccines available to control the disease, although many pharmaceutical companies and research institutions all over the world are working toward developing effective solutions to battle this life-threatening disease. X-ray and computed tomography (CT) images scanning is one of the most encouraging exploration zones; it can help in finding and providing early diagnosis to diseases and gives both quick and precise outcomes. In this study, convolution neural networks method is used for binary classification pneumonia-based conversion of VGG-19, Inception_V2 and decision tree model on X-ray and CT scan images dataset, which contains 360 images. It can infer that fine-tuned version VGG-19, Inception_V2 and decision tree model show highly satisfactory performance with a rate of increase in training and validation accuracy (91%) other than Inception_V2 (78%) and decision tree (60%) models. Keywords COVID-19 Á X-ray images Á CT scan Á CNN Á VGG-16 Á Inception_V2 Á Decision tree 1 Introduction The first case of the virus became exposed in Wuhan city of China in November 2019, there are 1,100,000 peoples living in this city and it interfaces numerous urban communities of China. The outbreak of atypical and individual-to-individual transmissible pneumonia brought about by the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 (SARS-COV-2) has caused a worldwide. There have been in excess of 26,000,000 confirmed cases of the corona virus disease (COVID-19) on the globe, as of April 23, 2020. As indicated by the WHO, 16-21% of individuals with the infection have gotten seriously sick with a Communicated by Valentina E. Balas.

The world health organization (WHO) formally proclaimed the novel coronavirus, called COVID-19, a worldwide pandemic on March 11 2020. In December 2019, COVID-19 was first identified in Wuhan city, China, and now coronavirus has spread across various nations infecting more than 198 countries. As the cities around China started getting contaminated, the number of cases increased exponentially. As of March 18 2020, the number of confirmed cases worldwide was more than 250,000, and Asia alone had more than 81,000 cases. The proposed model uses time series analysis to forecast the outbreak of COVID-19 around the world in the upcoming days by using an autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA). We analyze data from February 1 2020 to April 1 2020. The result shows that 120,000 confirmed fatal cases are forecasted using ARIMA by April 1 2020. Moreover, we have also evaluated the total confirmed cases, the total fatal cases, autocorrelation function, and white noise time-series for both confirmed cases and fatalities in the COVID-19 outbreak.

The Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak was rst discovered in Wuhan, China, and it has since spread to more than 200 countries. The World Health Organization proclaimed COVID-19 a public health emergency of international concern on January 30, 2020. Normally, a quickly spreading infection that could jeopardize the well-being of countless individuals requires prompt action to forestall the malady in a timely manner. COVID-19 is a major threat worldwide due to its ability to rapidly spread. No vaccines are yet available for COVID-19. The objective of this paper is to examine the worldwide COVID-19 pandemic, speci cally studying Hubei Province, China; Taiwan; South Korea; Japan; and Italy, in terms of exposed, infected, recovered/deceased, original con rmed cases, and predict con rmed cases in speci c countries by using the susceptible-exposed-infectious-recovered model to predict the future outbreak of COVID-19. We applied four differential equations to calculate the number of con rmed cases in each country, plotted them on a graph, and then applied polynomial regression with the logic of multiple linear regression to predict the further spread of the pandemic. We also compared the calculated and predicted cases of con rmed population and plotted them in the graph, where we could see that the lines of calculated and predicted cases do intersect with each other to give the perfect true results for

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