Abstract:As a less-developed province that has been chosen to be part of a low-carbon pilot project, Yunnan faces the challenge of maintaining rapid economic growth while reducing CO 2 emissions. Understanding the drivers behind CO 2 emission changes can help decouple economic growth from CO 2 emissions. However, previous studies on the drivers of CO 2 emissions in less-developed regions that focus on both production and final demand have been seldom conducted. In this study, a structural decomposition analysis-logarithmic mean Divisia index (SDA-LMDI) model was developed to find the drivers behind the CO 2 emission changes during 1997-2012 in Yunnan, based on times series energy consumption and input-output data. The results demonstrated that the sharp rise in exports of high-carbon products from the metal processing and electricity sectors increased CO 2 emissions, during [2002][2003][2004][2005][2006][2007]. Although increased investments in the construction sector also increased CO 2 emissions, during 2007-2012, the carbon intensity of Yunnan's economy decreased substantially because the province vigorously developed hydropower and improved energy efficiency in energy-intensive sectors. Construction investments not only carbonized the GDP composition, but also formed a carbon-intensive production structure because of high-carbon supply chains. To further mitigate CO 2 emissions in Yunnan, measures should promote the development and application of clean energy and the formation of consumption-based economic growth.
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