Aim of the study To determine if pre-operative radiologic minimal joint space width (mJSW) is related to the outcome of total knee arthroplasty (TKA) (primary hypothesis). Likewise, the aim was to test if pre-operative mJSW is related to prosthesis survival (secondary hypothesis). Methods A retrospective comparative analysis was performed. Group 1 was comprised of patients with pre-operative mJSW 0–1 mm. Group 2 were patients with pre-operative mJSW ≥ 2 mm. The clinical outcome was determined with the Western Ontario and MacMaster Universities Osteoarthritis Index (WOMAC) score pre-operatively and one year after TKA. Only patients with pre-operative weight-bearing radiographs and complete WOMAC score data were accepted. Results Available for analysis were 377 patients, of whom 188 were allocated to Group 1 (118 female, 70 male, age 70 ± 11 years) and 189 to Group 2 (118 female, 71 male, age 70 ± 13 years). Pre-operative WOMAC total and WOMAC subscores showed no significant differences between groups. Post-operatively, the WOMAC total was significantly better in Group 1 than in Group 2, 10 ± 22 and 19 ± 31, respectively ( p < 0.001, Power 97.5%). Similarly, the WOMAC subscores for pain, stiffness, and function were also significantly better in Group 1 than in Group 2. Five-year prosthesis survival was 94.2 and 91.6% in Groups 1 and 2, respectively ( p = 0.07, Power 71%). Discussion Patients with pre-operative complete joint space collapse (0 to 1 mm mJSW) achieve a significantly better WOMAC result from TKA than do those with a mJSW equal to or greater than 2 mm. From our findings, it is recommended that “complete joint space collapse” especially be used as an indication for TKA surgery. Conclusion Our study was underpowered to sufficiently show an effect of pre-operative mJSW on prosthesis survival. Electronic supplementary material The online version of this article (10.1007/s00264-018-4185-3) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.