Butyrate, one of the major products of the gut microbiota, has played notable roles in diverse therapies for multiple tumors. Our study aimed to determine the roles of genes that modulate butyrate metabolism (BM) in predicting the clinical prognosis and responses to systemic therapies in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The genes modulating BM were available from the GeneCard database, and gene expression and clinical information were obtained from TCGA-LIHC, GEO, ICGC-JP, and CCLE databases. Candidate genes from these genes that regulate BM were then identified by univariate Cox analysis. According to candidate genes, the patients in TCGA were grouped into distinct subtypes. Moreover, BM- related gene signature (BMGs) was created via the LASSO Cox algorithm. The roles of BMGs in identifying high-risk patients of HCC, assessing the prognoses, and predicting systematic therapies were determined in various datasets. The statistical analyses were fulfilled with R 4.1.3, GraphPad Prism 8.0 and Perl 5.30.0.1 software. In the TCGA cohort, most butyrate-related genes were over-expressed in the B cluster, and patients in the B cluster showed worse prognoses. BMGs constructed by LASSO were composed of eight genes. BMGs exhibited a strong performance in evaluating the prognoses of HCC patients in various datasets, which may be superior to 33 published biomarkers. Furthermore, BMGs may contribute to the early surveillance of HCC, and BMGs could play active roles in assessing the effectiveness of immunotherapy, TACE, ablation therapy, and chemotherapeutic drugs for HCC. BMGs may be served as novel promising biomarkers for early identifying high-risk groups of HCC, as well as assessing prognoses, drug sensitivity, and the responses to immunotherapy, TACE, and ablation therapy in patients with HCC.

Background Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains a global health threat. Finding a novel biomarker for assessing the prognosis and new therapeutic targets is vital to treating this patient population. Our study aimed to explore the contribution of basement membrane-related regulators (BMR) to prognostic assessment and therapeutic response prediction in HCC. Material and methods The RNA sequencing and clinical information of HCC were downloaded from TCGA-LIHC, ICGC-JP, GSE14520, GSE104580, and CCLE datasets. The BMR signature was created by the Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) algorithm and used to separate HCC patients into low- and high-risk groups. We conducted analyses using various R 4.1.3 software packages to compare prognoses and responses to immunotherapy, transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE), and chemotherapeutic drugs between the groups. Additionally, stemness indices, molecular functions, and somatic mutation analyses were further explored in these subgroups. Results The BMR signature included 3 basement membrane-related genes (CTSA, P3H1, and ADAM9). We revealed that BMR signature was an independent risk contributor to poor prognosis in HCC, and high-risk group patients presented shorter overall survival. We discovered that patients in the high-risk group might be responsive to immunotherapy, while patients in the low-risk group may be susceptible to TACE therapy. Over 300 agents were screened to identify effective drugs for the two subgroups. Conclusion Overall, basement membrane-related regulators represent novel biomarkers in HCC for assessing prognosis, response to immunotherapy, the effectiveness of TACE therapy, and drug susceptibility.