ImportanceWith an abundant supply of COVID-19 vaccines becoming available in spring and summer 2021, the major barrier to high vaccination rates in the United States has been a lack of vaccine demand. This has contributed to a higher rate of deaths from SARS-CoV-2 infections amongst unvaccinated individuals as compared to vaccinated individuals. It is important to understand how low vaccination rates directly impact deaths resulting from SARS-CoV-2 infections in unvaccinated populations across the United States.ObjectiveTo estimate a lower bound on the number of vaccine-preventable deaths from SARS-CoV-2 infections under various scenarios of vaccine completion, for every state of the United States.Design, Setting, and ParticipantsThis counterfactual simulation study varies the rates of complete vaccination coverage under the scenarios of 100%, 90% and 85% coverage of the adult (18+) population of the United States. For each scenario, we use U.S. state-level demographic information in conjunction with county-level vaccination statistics to compute a lower bound on the number of vaccine-preventable deaths for each state.ExposuresCOVID-19 vaccines, SARS-CoV-2 infectionMain Outcomes and MeasuresDeath from SARS-CoV-2 infectionResultsBetween January 1st, 2021 and April 30th, 2022, there were 641,305 deaths due to COVID-19 in the United States. Assuming each state continued peak vaccination capacity after initially achieving its peak vaccination rate, a vaccination rate of 100% would have led to 322,324 deaths nationally, that of 90% would have led to 415,878 deaths, and that of 85% would have led to 463,305 deaths. As a comparison, using the state with the highest peak vaccination rate (per million population each week) for all the states, a vaccination rate of 100% would have led to 302,344 deaths nationally, that of 90% would have led to 398,289 deaths, and that of 85% would have led to 446,449 deaths.Conclusions and RelevanceOnce COVID-19 vaccine supplies peaked across the United States, if there had been 100% COVID-19 vaccination coverage of the over 18+ population, a conservative estimate of 318,981 deaths could have been potentially avoided through vaccination. For a 90% vaccination coverage, we estimate at least 225,427 deaths averted through vaccination, and at least 178,000 lives saved through vaccination for an 85% vaccination coverage.
Target object detection in aerial surveillance using image processing techniques is growing more and more important. Aerial surveillance is more suitable for monitoring fast moving targets and covers a much larger spatial area. These technologies have a variety of applications, such as traffic management, police and military. Aerial view has the advantage of providing a better perspective of the area being covered and this make use of the aerial videos taken from aerial vehicles. In an automatic vehicle detection system for aerial surveillance background colors are eliminated and then features are extracted. This system extracts features including color feature and local feature points. For vehicle color extraction, system utilizes color transform to separate vehicle colors and non-vehicle colors effectively. For edges detection, system applies moment-preserving method to adjust the thresholds for canny edge detector automatically, which improves the adaptability and accuracy of the system. A support Vector Machine is constructed for classification purpose.
In early 2021, effective SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19) vaccines became available in the United States; by mid-April 2021, vaccine availability outstripped demand, daily vaccination rates peaked, and COVID-19 vaccines were found highly effective in adult populations. Accurate estimates of the number of vaccine-preventable deaths had higher vaccination rates been attained could have helped local policymakers and possibly persuaded more to get vaccinated. Because existing estimation methodologies are limited, for the period 1/1/21 – 4/30/22, we simulated the number of vaccine-preventable deaths associated with two-dose COVID-19 vaccination that incorporated state-level population, death, and vaccination numbers and three scenarios of vaccination rate achievement. Nationally, we found that had 100% of the population became fully vaccinated during the period examined, 318,979 deaths, or approximately 50% of actual COVID-19 deaths, might have been prevented; had 85% been so, 28% might have been prevented. Across states, we found substantial variation in the proportion of avoidable COVID-19 deaths that might have been avoided at the state level, from 25% in Massachusetts to 74% in Alaska. Our findings are sobering when considering the painful deaths, the survivors’ anguish, and the diversion of scarce and expensive healthcare resources that might have been averted had peak vaccination administration efforts been maintained.
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