The importance of tourism for development is widely recognized. Travel restrictions imposed to contain the spread of COVID-19 have brought tourism to a halt. Tourism is one of the key sectors driving change in Africa and is based exclusively on natural assets, with wildlife being the main attraction. Economic activities, therefore, are clustered around conservation and protected areas. We used night-time light data as a proxy measure for economic activity to assess change due to the pandemic. Our analysis shows that overall, 75 percent of the 8427 protected areas saw a decrease in light intensity in varying degrees in all countries and across IUCN protected area categories, including in popular protected area destinations, indicating a reduction in tourism-related economic activities. As countries discuss COVID-19 recovery, the methods using spatially explicit data illustrated in this paper can assess the extent of change, inform decision-making, and prioritize recovery efforts.

Computer vision for large scale building detection can be very challenging in many environments and settings even with recent advances in deep learning technologies. Even more challenging is modeling to detect the presence of specific buildings (in this case schools) in satellite imagery at a global scale. However, despite the variation in school building structures from rural to urban areas and from country to country, many school buildings have identifiable overhead signatures that make them possible to be detected from high-resolution imagery with modern deep learning techniques. Our hypothesis is that a Deep Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) could be trained for successful mapping of school locations at a regional or global scale from high-resolution satellite imagery. One of the key objectives of this work is to explore the possibility of having a scalable model that can be used to map schools across the globe. In this work, we developed AI-assisted rapid school location mapping models in eight countries in Asia, Africa, and South America. The results show that regional models outperform country-specific models and the global model. This indicates that the regional model took the advantage of having been exposed to diverse school location structure and features and generalized better, however, the global model was the worst performer due to the difficulty of generalizing the significant variability of school location features across different countries from different regions.

Evaluation of the effectiveness of protected areas is critical for forest conservation policies and priorities. We used 30 m resolution forest cover change data from 1990 to 2010 for ~4000 protected areas to evaluate their effectiveness. Our results show that protected areas in the tropics avoided 83,500 ± 21,200 km2 of deforestation during the 2000s. Brazil’s protected areas have the largest amount of avoided deforestation at 50,000 km2. We also show the amount of international aid received by tropical countries compared to the effectiveness of protected areas. Thirty-four tropical countries received USD 42 billion during the 1990s and USD 62 billion during the 2000s in international aid for biodiversity conservation. The effectiveness of international aid was highest in Latin America, with 4.3 m2/USD, led by Brazil, while tropical Asian countries showed the lowest average effect of international aid, reaching only 0.17 m2/USD.

Understanding the biases in Deep Neural Networks (DNN) based algorithms is gaining paramount importance due to its increased applications on many real-world problems. A known problem of DNN penalizing the underrepresented population could undermine the efficacy of development projects dependent on data produced using DNN-based models. In spite of this, the problems of biases in DNN for Land Use and Land Cover Classification (LULCC) have not been a subject of many studies. In this study, we explore ways to quantify biases in DNN for land use with an example of identifying school buildings in Colombia from satellite imagery. We implement a DNN-based model by fine-tuning an existing, pre-trained model for school building identification. The model achieved overall 84% accuracy. Then, we used socioeconomic covariates to analyze possible biases in the learned representation. The retrained deep neural network was used to extract visual features (embeddings) from satellite image tiles. The embeddings were clustered into four subtypes of schools, and the accuracy of the neural network model was assessed for each cluster. The distributions of various socioeconomic covariates by clusters were analyzed to identify the links between the model accuracy and the aforementioned covariates. Our results indicate that the model accuracy is lowest (57%) where the characteristics of the landscape are predominantly related to poverty and remoteness, which confirms our original assumption on the heterogeneous performances of Artificial Intelligence (AI) algorithms and their biases. Based on our findings, we identify possible sources of bias and present suggestions on how to prepare a balanced training dataset that would result in less biased AI algorithms. The framework used in our study to better understand biases in DNN models would be useful when Machine Learning (ML) techniques are adopted in lieu of ground-based data collection for international development programs. Because such programs aim to solve issues of social inequality, MLs are only applicable when they are transparent and accountable.

Evaluation of the effectiveness of protected areas is critical for forest conservation policies and priorities. To evaluate their effectiveness, we used 30-m resolution forest cover change data between 1990 and 2010 for ~4,000 protected areas and analyzed the relationships of the effectiveness of protected areas with socio-economic variables. Our results show that protected areas in the Tropics avoided 83,500 ± 21,200 km2 of deforestation during the 2000s. Brazil’s protected areas have the largest amount of avoided deforestation of 50,000 km2. We also show the amount of international aid received by tropical countries compared to the effectiveness of protected areas. International aid had major benefits in Latin America led by Brazil while tropical Asian countries used the resource ineffectively. Our results demonstrate that protected areas have been relatively more efficient in countries where deforestation pressures were increasing, and governance and forest change monitoring capacity are important factors for enhancing the efficacy of international aid.