This paper considers monitoring an anomaly from sequentially observed time series with heteroscedastic conditional volatilities based on the cumulative sum (CUSUM) method combined with support vector regression (SVR). The proposed online monitoring process is designed to detect a significant change in volatility of financial time series. The tuning parameters are optimally chosen using particle swarm optimization (PSO). We conduct Monte Carlo simulation experiments to illustrate the validity of the proposed method. A real data analysis with the S&P 500 index, Korea Composite Stock Price Index (KOSPI), and the stock price of Microsoft Corporation is presented to demonstrate the versatility of our model.
Mediastinal tuberculous lymphadenitis rarely mimics esophageal submucosal tumor, particularly in the case of multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB). Herein, we report the case of a 61-year-old woman who visited a local hospital complaining of odynophagia. An initial esophagogastroduodenoscopy revealed an esophageal submucosal tumor, and subsequent chest computed tomography showed subcarinal lymphadenopathy with an esophagomediastinal fistula. The patient was then referred to Samsung Medical Center, and a second esophagogastroduodenoscopy showed deep central ulceration, as well as a suspicious fistula in the esophageal submucosal tumor-like lesion. A biopsy examination of the ulcerative lesion confirmed focal inflammation only. Next, an endobronchial, ultrasound-guided lymph node biopsy was performed, and TB was confirmed. The patient initially began a course of isoniazid, rifampicin, ethambutol, and pyrazinamide. However, after a drug sensitivity test, she was diagnosed with MDR-TB, and second-line anti-TB medications were prescribed. She recovered well subsequently.
Background:Clonorchis sinensis (CS) infection is considered a group 1 carcinogen of cholangiocarcinoma (CCA). There were very few studies regarding clinical characteristics of CS-associated CCA (CACC). This study aimed to investigate clinical characteristics of patients with CCA with or without CS infection.Methods: A total of 367 patients diagnosed with CCA who underwent diagnostic tests for CS infection were enrolled. CS infection was defined as follows: at least one positive serum ELISA test, skin test, stool microscopy, or bile microscopy.Results: There were 95 (26%) patients with CS infections. The median follow-up duration was 14.9 months (range, 6.07–36.17). The following significant differences were noted among patients with CACC compared to non-CACC; diagnosis at younger age (median 62 years vs. 65 years, p = 0.018), higher male to female ratio (83.2 vs. 61.8%, p < 0.001), and residence in CS-endemic area (46.3 vs. 25.4%, p = 0.014). Univariate analysis of prognostic factors indicated that tumor location, curative resection, tumor stage, and laboratory tests including CA 19-9, CEA, and bilirubin were significantly associated with overall survival, but CS infection was not. In multivariate analysis, tumor location, CEA, curative resection and tumor stage were identified as independent prognostic factors. Among patients under age 64, CACC group had lower survival rate than non-CACC group (p = 0.022).Conclusions: CACC had the following significant characteristics compared to non-CACC; diagnosis at younger age, higher male to female ratio, higher prevalence in CS endemic areas and poorer overall survival in patients under age 64.
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