A b s t r a c tIn spite of the rapid adoption of electronic limit order markets all over the world, many questions concerning the nature and characteristics of liquidity in automated systems remain unanswered. This paper examines the dynamic behaviour of market liquidity on the Tunisian stock exchange (BVMT) using high frequency data from a reconstructed limit order book. The BVMT is an electronic pure order driven market that relies only on limit orders to supply liquidity, which may affect its viability and its resiliency. First, we apply a VAR model to stocks traded in continuous in order to examine if dynamic interactions exist between liquidity and volatility. Second, we study the resiliency of the BVMT through the impulse response function of the VAR model. Our findings show dynamic relationships between spread, depth and volatility. Some differences exist in the dynamics of liquidity when we take into account the trading intensity of the stock. Furthermore, we note that shocks are absorbed more quickly for frequently traded stocks than for infrequently traded ones.
Purpose
The purpose of this paper is to study the volatility spillover among 33 worldwide sovereign Credit Default Swap (CDS) markets and their underlying bond markets.
Design/methodology/approach
In contrast to prior studies, the authors incorporate heteroscedasticity, asymmetric leverage effects and long-memory features of sovereign credit spreads simultaneously through a bivariate FIEGARCH model and a Bayesian cointegrated vector autoregressive model.
Findings
Similar to the literature, the findings confirm that strong evidence of credit risk spillover between credit markets is accentuated during two recent crisis periods. However, the country-by-country analysis indicates that countries exhibit different sensitivity levels and divergent reactions to financial shocks. Further, the authors show that the bidirectional interrelationship evolves over time and across countries emphasizing the necessity of time-varying national regulatory policies and trading positions.
Originality/value
Based on a large data set that covers the recent two financial crises and using complex methods, the work focuses on sovereign tensions that have repercussions on banks’ solvency and refinancing conditions. Yet, the study is a hot topic since that during crisis periods in the financial markets, direct and indirect interconnections increase between sovereign risk and banking risk. Using new econometric approaches, the results show that each country exhibits a different behavior toward the credit risk which is relevant to both portfolio managers and policy makers. The time-varying spillover effects detected between markets are an accurate indicator of financial stability, allowing policy makers to put in place personalized economic policies. On the other hand, markets’ participants could take advantages of the results by adjusting their trading and hedging positions on the dynamic co-movements. The findings reveal, as well, that the sovereign crisis has more weakened the global financial and banking system than the subprime crisis. The authors previously tackled the cross-country contagion phenomenon in the CDS markets, and this manuscript builds on the prior study to enhance the obtained results.
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