No abstract

Anomalously warm sea-surface temperatures (SSTs) are associated with interannual and decadal variability as well as with long-term climate changes indicative of global warming. Such oscillations could precipitate changes in a variety of oceanic processes to affect marine species worldwide. As global temperatures continue to rise, it will be critically important to be able to predict the effects of such changes on species' abundance, distribution, and ecological relationships so as to identify vulnerable populations. Off the coast of British Columbia, warm SSTs have persisted through the last two decades. Based on 16 years of reproductive data collected between 1975 and 2002, we show that the extreme variation in reproductive performance exhibited by tufted puffins (Fratercula cirrhata) was related to changes in SST both within and among seasons. Especially warm SSTs corresponded with drastically decreased growth rates and fledging success of puffin nestlings. Puffins may partially compensate for within-season changes associated with SST by adjusting their breeding phenology, yet our data also suggest that they are highly vulnerable to the effects of climate change at this site and may serve as a valuable indicator of biological change in the North Pacific. Further and prolonged increases in ocean temperature could make Triangle Island, which contains the largest tufted puffin colony in Canada, unsuitable as a breeding site for this species.

We studied parental provisioning and chick growth rates of Cassin's auklet Ptychoramphus aleuticus at Triangle Island, British Columbia, Canada, from 1996 to 1999. Auklet reproductive performance and ocean climate conditions during these years were highly variable, and reflected in the diet composition. Chick growth was maximal when the diet was predominated by copepods, in particular Neocalanus cristatus. Provisioning and growth were high in 1999, intermediate in 1997 and poor in 1998. Exceptional was 1996, when growth was low but provisioning rates were high. Provisioning and growth were depressed late in 1997 and throughout 1998 when larval rockfish Sebastes spp. (5200 cal g ) in the nestling diet. Zooplankton surveys indicated that N. cristatus was substantially more abundant in May 1999 than in May 1998, and during 1999 the auklets foraged in areas with the highest concentrations of copepods. Through impacts on prey availability, variation in ocean climate affects the reproductive performance of Cassin's auklet. Performance tends to be favorable in years when spring is late and cold, and poor when spring is early and warm. Equations for predicting food delivery rates from 24 h mass changes of chicks were highly year-specific, precluding their application in other years or at other sites where Cassin's auklets breed. Between-year differences were also found in relationships between adult provisioning and chick growth. These were strongly positively related in 1999, positively related in 1996 and 1997, but unrelated in 1998; differences attributed to the magnitude of temporal variation in the nestling diet. Finally, we detected annual differences in parental response to chick needs. In 1999, parents delivered more food to chicks in poor condition and less to those in better condition, responses not observed in 1998. Different responses between years may have reflected variation in the availability of prey.