Tuberculosis is a serious infectious disease caused by Mycobacterium tuberculosis (MTB) that primarily affects the lungs. It is known that several strains of MTB are resistant to drugs used in the treatment. This situation calls for the importance to detect and prevent further drug resistance and thus reducing the mortality rate. The conventional molecular diagnostic test is costly, requires a long time to conduct, and has low prediction ability. This research aims to explore the Machine Learning approach to accurately predict drug resistance which offers a much faster and cheaper solution than the conventional one. Experiments were carried out on 3393 isolates of MTB using several Machine Learning algorithms including C4.5, Random Forest, and Logitboost. Multiple drugs evaluated in this study include rifampicin (RIF), isoniazid (INH), pyrazinamide (PZA), and ethambutol (EMB). By using 10-fold cross-validation, the result had demonstrated that the model can accurately predict drug resistance with an accuracy of 99% and with Area Under Curve (AUC) reaching (near) 1. This result suggests that Machine Learning approach has a promising result in predicting Tuberculosis drug resistance.
The number of tourists always fluctuates every month, as happened in Kaliadem Merapi, Sleman. The purpose of this research is to develop a prediction system for the number of tourists based on artificial neural networks. This study uses an artificial neural network for data processing methods with the backpropagation algorithm. This study carried out two processes, namely the training process and the testing process with stages consisting of: (1) Collecting input and target data, (2) Normalizing input and target data, (3) Creating artificial neural network architecture by utilizing GUI (Graphical User Interface) Matlab facilities. (4) Conducting training and testing processes, (5) Normalizing predictive data, (6) Analysis of predictive data. In the data analysis, the MSE (Mean Squared Error) value in the training process is 0.0091528 and in the testing process is 0.0051424. Besides, the validity value of predictive accuracy in the testing process is around 91.32%. The resulting MSE (Mean Squared Error) value is relatively small, and the validity value of prediction accuracy is relatively high, so this system can be used to predict the number of tourists in Kaliadem Merapi, Sleman.
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