We report on a quantitative analysis of relationships between the number of homicides, population size and ten other urban metrics. By using data from Brazilian cities, we show that well-defined average scaling laws with the population size emerge when investigating the relations between population and number of homicides as well as population and urban metrics. We also show that the fluctuations around the scaling laws are log-normally distributed, which enabled us to model these scaling laws by a stochastic-like equation driven by a multiplicative and log-normally distributed noise. Because of the scaling laws, we argue that it is better to employ logarithms in order to describe the number of homicides in function of the urban metrics via regression analysis. In addition to the regression analysis, we propose an approach to correlate crime and urban metrics via the evaluation of the distance between the actual value of the number of homicides (as well as the value of the urban metrics) and the value that is expected by the scaling law with the population size. This approach has proved to be robust and useful for unveiling relationships/behaviors that were not properly carried out by the regression analysis, such as the non-explanatory potential of the elderly population when the number of homicides is much above or much below the scaling law, the fact that unemployment has explanatory potential only when the number of homicides is considerably larger than the expected by the power law, and a gender difference in number of homicides, where cities with female population below the scaling law are characterized by a number of homicides above the power law.
The generalized diffusion equations with fractional order derivatives have shown be quite efficient to describe the diffusion in complex systems, with the advantage of producing exact expressions for the underlying diffusive properties. Recently, researchers have proposed different fractional-time operators (namely: the Caputo-Fabrizio and Atangana-Baleanu) which, differently from the well-known Riemann-Liouville operator, are defined by non-singular memory kernels. Here we proposed to use these new operators to generalize the usual diffusion equation. By analyzing the corresponding fractional diffusion equations within the continuous time random walk framework, we obtained waiting time distributions characterized by exponential, stretched exponential, and power-law functions, as well as a crossover between two behaviors. For the mean square displacement, we found crossovers between usual and confined diffusion, and between usual and sub-diffusion. We obtained the exact expressions for the probability distributions, where non-Gaussian and stationary distributions emerged. This former feature is remarkable because the fractional diffusion equation is solved without external forces and subjected to the free diffusion boundary conditions. We have further shown that these new fractional diffusion equations are related to diffusive processes with stochastic resetting, and to fractional diffusion equations with derivatives of distributed order. Thus, our results suggest that these new operators may be a simple and efficient way for incorporating different structural aspects into the system, opening new possibilities for modeling and investigating anomalous diffusive processes.
Two empirical, but plausible, previously published independent generalizations of the standard Poisson−Nernst−Planck (PNP) continuum diffusion model for mobile-charge conduction in liquids and solids are discussed, their responses are compared, and their physical appropriateness and usefulness for data fitting are investigated. They both involve anomalous diffusion of PNPA type with power-law frequency-response elements involving fractional exponents. Both models apply to finite-length regions of material between completely blocking electrodes and, for simplicity, deal primarily with positive and negative charge carriers of equal valence numbers and mobilities. The charge carriers may be either ionic or electronic. The first PNPA model, model A, involves the common separation of the expression for ordinary PNP impedance into an interface diffusion part and a high-frequency limiting conductance and capacitance, followed by the replacement of all normal diffusion elements in the former by anomalous ones. It predicts the presence of the usual PNP plateau in the real part of the total impedance below the Debye relaxation frequency, followed at sufficiently low frequencies by an anomalous-diffusion power-law increase above the plateau. The second model, C, alternatively generalizes the normal time derivatives in the continuity equation by replacing them with fractional ones and leads to no plateau, except in the PNP limit, but instead predicts an immediate power-law increase as the frequency decreases below the Debye relaxation one. Fitting of experimental frequency response data sets for three disparate materials leads to much poorer fits for model C than for model A.
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