This paper analyzes the trade creation and trade diversion effects of the regional trade agreements (RTAs) in Asia and their effects on intra-regional trade flows using annual trade data for the period 1980-2009. The research will attempt to achieve the following objectives: (a) analyze the major RTAs in Asia and their effects on intra-regional trade flows. (b) use a gravity model to estimate the trade creation and trade diversion effects of various RTAs on trade flows within and across member groups; and (c) measure the effect of RTAs on members' trade with other Asian countries. The findings of this study are, for the most part, consistent with findings of previous studies on the Asian trade flows. The coefficients of real GDP, population, and distance had expected signs and magnitudes in all models estimated.
In this study, we explore the hypotheses that (a) workers’ remittances enhance economic growth in Latin American countries, and (b) workers’ remittances help reduce poverty in Latin American countries. In recent decades, workers’ remittances have become an important source of income for many developing countries and, as a global aggregate, workers’ remittances are the largest source of foreign financing after foreign direct investment. This paper analyzes the effects of workers’ remittances on economic growth and poverty in 21 Latin American countries. The study uses annual data covering all Latin American countries for the period 1980–2018. We employ panel least squares and panel fully-modified least squares (FMOLS) methods. In addition, we estimate the short-run and long-run effects of workers’ remittances on economic growth and poverty on individual countries with the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL-ECM) approach to co-integration analysis. The results reveal that workers’ remittances have a positive effect on long-run economic growth in the majority of the countries studied, but have mixed effects in the short-run. They also suggest that workers’ remittances tend to lower poverty rates in Latin America.
This paper investigates the long-run demand for money and short-run dynamics of the long-run money demand function for Sri Lanka during the post-1977 period. While M1 is cointegrated with real income, nominal interest rate, short-term foreign interest rate, and real effective exchange rate, M2 is not. This suggests that monetary authorities should emphasize the narrow definition of money for monetary control. The one year fixed deposits rate is cointegrated with M1, indicating the opportunity cost of holding money. Although the inflation rate is not cointegrated with M1, it seems to be an important determinant of the demand for M1 in the short-run. Results also suggest that the short-term foreign interest rate and the exchange rate can have important implications for the effectiveness of monetary policy. Monetary authorities must consider the response of domestic money demand to these external factors when formulating future monetary policies.
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