The lack of evidence in the literature supporting the widely accepted theory of a real estate bubble, or a financial bubble which was the cause of the Global Financial Crisis of 2007 and 2008, prompted the researcher to raise questions regarding the cause of the Global Financial Crisis of 2007 and 2008. Walters (2018) presented evidence which suggested there was no statistically significant evidence in changes of net FDI inflow for developed countries for periods preceding and subsequent to the Global Financial Crisis of 2007 through 2008. The development of Eddison Walters Risk Expectation Theory of the Global Financial Crisis of 2007 and 2008, in Walters (2018) presented an alternative theory for the cause of the Global Financial Crisis of 2007 through 2008. This new theory resulting from data analysis in the research conducted in Walters (2018), raised serious questions regarding the accuracy of an abundance of available capital which was suggested as the cause of a financial bubble, leading to a real estate bubble in the United State housing market, causing the real estate crash, which triggered the Global Financial Crisis of 2007 and 2008.Questions raised in Walters (2018), called for further investigation into the cause of home purchase price increase, which many in the literature have suggested led to a real estate market crash in the United States preceding the Global Financial Crisis of 2007 through 2008. It is critical to gain an understanding of exactly what cause home purchase price across the United States to increase. This knowledge will provide researches with a better understanding of the cause of the Global Financial Crisis of 2007 and 2008, avoiding the same mistakes being made in the future.
Data analysis in recent studies by the current researcher presented evidence suggesting the existence of a real estate bubble preceding the Global Financial Crisis of 2007 and 2008 was a false conclusion. Data analysis from Walters (2019) resulted in 194.041 Mean Dependent Variable, 0.989 Adjusted R-square, 5.908 Square Error of Regression, and 488.726 Sum-of-Square Residual, from nonlinear regression analysis with the independent variable of “advancement in technology”, which proved to be the most significant factor causing the dependent variable of “home purchase price” to increase preceding the Global Financial Crisis of 2007 and 2008. Based on the findings of data analysis in Walters (2019), the researcher concluded the data confirmed the assertion agreed upon by Alan Greenspan and Ben Bernanke, it was impossible to have a real estate bubble, while citing the Efficient Market Hypothesis in 2005. Subsequent to 2005, alternative attempts to explain the existence of a real estate bubble were made by both former Chairmen of the Federal Reserve Board. Subprime lending and low interest rates were ruled out as the cause of the Global Financial Crisis of 2007 and 2008 in Walters (2019). As a result of the findings from Walters (2019), further investigation to gain an understanding of the impact of how the rapid adaption of advancement in technology influence on the rapid increase in home purchase price preceding the Global Financial Crisis of 2007 and 2008 is required. The purpose of this study is to gain an understanding of the role the rapid adaption of advancement in technology played in the mortgage industry and real estate industry in the United States, and the influence on to the rapid increase in home purchase prices preceding the Global Financial Crisis of 2007 and 2008 as a result of the changes. Insight into the rapid transformation of the mortgage industry and the real estate industry in the United States, and the role the transformation played in the crisis is a critical factor to understanding the impact of advancement in technology on the real estate market in the United States preceding the Global Financial Crisis of 2007 and 2008. Failure to consider the impact of rapid adaption of advancement in technology on the mortgage industry and real estate industry, and the transformation of the real estate market preceding the Global Financial Crisis 2007 and 2008, was a significant error which led to the false conclusion of the existence of a real estate bubble. An understanding of how the rapid transformation of the real estate market as a result of advancement in technology in the United States preceding the Global Financial Crisis of 2007 and 2008, will provide the critical knowledge to evaluate mistakes leading to the false conclusion of a real estate bubble preceding the crisis. The information gained from the current study will help avoid a future financial crisis of the same magnitude.
The results of several recent studies called the analysis of economic data from the United States real estate industry preceding the Global Financial Crisis of 2007 and 2008 into question. Advancement of technology is a disruptive force throughout the economy today. The speed at which technology continues to evolve has resulted in significant changes throughout the entire economy around the world. As technology continue to evolve, there is no question technology disruption will continue to occur. Economist can no longer rely solely on backward looking historical data when conducting economic analysis. The evolution of the global economy require an understanding of the impact of advancement in technology occurring throughout the economy as researcher conduct analysis of data to draw conclusions. The result of recent studies led to the development of “Eddison Walters Modern Economic Analysis Theory”. Data analysis suggesting the false conclusion of the existence of a real estate bubble in the United States real estate market preceding the Global Financial Crisis of 2007 and 2008 was presented in Walters and Djokic (2019). Nonlinear regression analysis for correlation of variables in Walters (2019) resulted in 194.041 Mean Dependent Variable, 0.989 Adjusted R-square, 5.908 Square Error of Regression, and 488.726 Sum-of-Square Residual for the independent variable of “advancement in technology”, and the dependent variable of “home purchase price” preceding the Global Financial Crisis of 2007 and 2008. Walters (2019) concluded advancement in technology was the most significant factor causing home prices to increase preceding the Global Financial Crisis of 2007 and 2008. Overwhelming evidence led the researcher to conclude, the failure to consider the impact of advancement in technology in data analysis was the most significant error responsible for causing data analysis distortion leading to the false conclusion of the existence of a real estate bubble preceding the Global Financial Crisis of 2007 and 2008 (Walters, 2020). The researcher proposed “Eddison Walters Modern Economic Analysis Theory” in the current study. The goal of the new theory is to prevent potential error in data analysis resulting in data distortion due to the failure to consider the impact of advancement in technology on the data when conducting economic research in the future.
The lack of evidence in support of the widely held theory of a financial and real estate bubble, which was responsible for causing the Global Financial Crisis of 2007 and 2008 inthe literature, raised serious questions regarding the recent financial crisis that required additional research. A financial bubble, defined as protracted divergence over a period between an asset market price, and the fundamental determinants implied value with an unusually high volume of trading or sales (Starr,2012). Walters (2018) presented evidence which suggested there was no statistically significant evidence of change in the growth of net FDI inflow for developed countries for periods preceding and subsequent to the Global Financial Crisis of 2007 and 2008. The development of Eddison Walters Risk Expectation Theory of the Global Financial Crisis of 2007 and 2008, in Walters (2018) presented an alternative theory for the cause of the Global Financial Crisis of 2007 and 2008. This new theory raised severe questions regarding Alan Greenspan's statement, which pointed to an abundance of available capital creating a financial bubble as a condition that led to a real estate bubble in the United State housing market, triggering the Global Financial Crisis of 2007 and 2008 (Greenspan et. al ,2010; Khayoyan, 2012). Considering new questions raised by Walters (2018), an investigation into what triggered the Global Financial Crisis of 2007 through 2008 is required. It is critical to gain an understanding of precisely what triggered the financial crisis to avoid the same mistakes in the future.
The researcher called for economic research to consider the potential effect of advancement in technology on analysis of economic data in Eddison Walters Modern Economic Analysis Theory in the future represented a paradigm shift in economic analysis that will significantly reduce the potential for error due to data distortion in the future. The foundation of the world's economy is based on the sharing of information, yet very little attention has been given to the effect of technology advancement in the analysis of data. The researcher of the current study highlighted the critical nature of sharing information to the development of the world’s economy in the past, as well as the critical nature of sharing information to the world’s economy today. Advancement in technology has drastically improved the sharing of information and has led to the globalized economy. The lack of evidence supporting the widely accepted theory of the Global Financial Crisis of 2007 and 2008 prompted the investigation by the current researcher aimed at gaining insight into economic factors that were responsible for conditions contributing to the Global Financial Crisis of 2007 and 2008. Walters (2018) presented evidence suggesting no financial bubble existed before the Global Financial Crisis of 2007 and 2008. The study resulted in the development of “Eddison Walters Risk Expectation Theory of The Global Financial Crisis of 2007 and 2008”. The theory presented an alternative explanation for the financial crisis. The researcher called for additional investigation to gain insight into the nature of the cause of the Global Financial Crisis of 2007 and 2008. Further investigation in Walters (2019) provided evidence supporting the idea, technological advancement led to the rapid growth in home prices before the Global Financial Crisis of 2007 and 2008. The result from the analysis of data in Walters (2019) revealed the following, 0.989 Adjusted R-square, 194.041 Mean Dependent Variable, 5.908 Square Error of Regression, and 488.726 Sum-of-Square Residual, from nonlinear regression analysis. The dependent variable in the study was, “home purchase price” and the independent variable was, “advancement in technology”. The current study continued the investigation into factors that were described in the literature which set the conditions leading to the Global Financial Crisis of 2007 and 2008. Gaining insight into the effect of technological advancement on the significant increase in consumer debt prior to the Global Financial Crisis will significantly contribute to the understanding of the economic environment before the Global Financial Crisis of 2007 and 2008. Insight into the effect of advancement in technology on the increase in consumer lending prior to the Global Financial Crisis of 2007 and 2008, will significantly contribute to the understanding of the Global Financial Crisis of 2007 and 2008.
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