BackgroundA female/male (F/M) ratio increase over time in multiple sclerosis (MS) patients was demonstrated in many countries around the world. So far, a direct comparison of sex ratio time-trends among MS populations from different geographical areas was not carried out.ObjectiveIn this paper we assessed and compared sex ratio trends, over a 60-year span, in MS populations belonging to different latitudinal areas.MethodsData of a cohort of 15,996 (F = 11,290; M = 4,706) definite MS with birth years ranging from 1930 to 1989 were extracted from the international MSBase registry and the New Zealand MS database. Gender ratios were calculated by six decades based on year of birth and were adjusted for the F/M born-alive ratio derived from the respective national registries of births.ResultsAdjusted sex ratios showed a significant increase from the first to the last decade in the whole MS sample (from 2.35 to 2.73; p = 0.03) and in the subgroups belonging to the areas between 83° N and 45° N (from 1.93 to 4.55; p<0.0001) and between 45° N to 35° N (from 1.46 to 2.30; p<0.05) latitude, while a sex ratio stability over time was found in the subgroup from areas between 12° S and 55° S latitude. The sex ratio increase mainly affected relapsing-remitting (RR) MS.ConclusionsOur results confirm a general sex ratio increase over time in RRMS and also demonstrate a latitudinal gradient of this increase. These findings add useful information for planning case-control studies aimed to explore sex-related factors responsible for MS development.

ObjectivesWe conducted a prospective study, MSBASIS, to assess factors leading to first treatment discontinuation in patients with a clinically isolated syndrome (CIS) and early relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS).MethodsThe MSBASIS Study, conducted by MSBase Study Group members, enrols patients seen from CIS onset, reporting baseline demographics, cerebral magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) features and Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) scores. Follow-up visits report relapses, EDSS scores, and the start and end dates of MS-specific therapies. We performed a multivariable survival analysis to determine factors within this dataset that predict first treatment discontinuation.ResultsA total of 2314 CIS patients from 44 centres were followed for a median of 2.7 years, during which time 1247 commenced immunomodulatory drug (IMD) treatment. Ninety percent initiated IMD after a diagnosis of MS was confirmed, and 10% while still in CIS status. Over 40% of these patients stopped their first IMD during the observation period. Females were more likely to cease medication than males (HR 1.36, p = 0.003). Patients treated in Australia were twice as likely to cease their first IMD than patients treated in Spain (HR 1.98, p = 0.001). Increasing EDSS was associated with higher rate of IMD cessation (HR 1.21 per EDSS unit, p<0.001), and intramuscular interferon-β-1a (HR 1.38, p = 0.028) and subcutaneous interferon-β-1a (HR 1.45, p = 0.012) had higher rates of discontinuation than glatiramer acetate, although this varied widely in different countries. Onset cerebral MRI features, age, time to treatment initiation or relapse on treatment were not associated with IMD cessation.ConclusionIn this multivariable survival analysis, female sex, country of residence, EDSS change and IMD choice independently predicted time to first IMD cessation.

The objective of the study was to evaluate whether the presence of oligoclonal bands (OB) adds information in predicting CIS conversion to clinical definite multiple sclerosis (CDMS) and conversion time to CDMS. From 1998 to 2006, CIS patients were included in a prospective study. Patients underwent brain MRI and OB determination within 2 months of the first demyelinating event. We analyzed conversion to CDMS and time to conversion to CDMS according to abnormal MRI and the presence of OB. Forty patients were included. Fifteen patients (37%) converted to CDMS; 14 of them (93.3%) had abnormal baseline MRI (P = 0.01, RR = 5.9; 95% CI 1.3-10.1) and 13 (86.7%) had positive OB in CSF (P = <0.01, RR = 5.3; 95% CI 1.6-9.5). The risk of conversion to CDMS in patients with positive OB and abnormal baseline MRI was significantly higher compared to patients negative for both tests or with only one positive (RR = 9.1; 95% CI 3.5-14.6). Time to conversion to CDMS was 6.8 +/- 3.5 months for patients with OB and abnormal baseline MRI and 19 +/- 14 months for patients with only one abnormal test. CIS patients with abnormal baseline OB in CSF have a higher risk for developing CDMS. Regarding conversion time to CDMS, when abnormal MRI was added to positive OB, patients converted faster (mean time, 6 vs. 19 months). This information may be useful when considering treatment in CIS patients.

The aim of this study was to investigate if brain atrophy in multiple sclerosis (MS) patients during the disease onset predicts long term disability. METHODS: MS patients with follow-up time of at least 7 years from disease onset and with baseline and second magnetic resonance 12 months later were included to measure brain atrophy. Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) was categorized in three groups, EDSS=0, EDSS=1 and 2.5 and EDSS>2.5, and used as disability measure. RESULTS: Twenty-six patients were included. Mean atrophy during the first year in patients that reached an EDSS≥3 was -0.76±0.45 %, in patients with an EDSS between 1 and 2.5 was -0.59±0.56, while in patients with an EDSS of 0 it was -0.38±0.42 (p=0.003). DISCUSSION: Brain atrophy rates during the first year of disease were predictive of disease progression in our population.

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