Salah satu isu dunia internasional yang menjadi banyak perhatian adalah permasalahan Not in Employment, Education, or Training atau yang diasa disebut dengan NEET. Banyaknya pemuda yang berada dalam kelompok NEET secara tidak langsung menggambarkan besarnya potensi yang hilang yang dialami oleh negara, termasuk kegagalan pada sistem pendidikan, pasar kerja, dan interkoneksinya. Penelitian ini mencoba mengidentifikasi karakteristik individu dan kondisi makro dimana individu tersebut tinggal terhadap probabilitas individu masuk ke kelompok NEET (berstatus NEET) di wilayah Sulawesi Barat. Menggunakan data Sakernas Agustus Provinsi Sulawesi Barat tahun 2017 dengan metode analisis regresi logistik dan analisis cluster, penelitian ini mengungkap bahwa pemuda berstatus NEET cenderung akan terjadi pada perempuan yang berumur 20-24 tahun, tidak tamat sekolah dasar, dan telah menikah. Selain itu, hasil dari analisis cluster menunjukkan tingkat NEET tertinggi di Sulawesi Barat berada pada kabupaten dengan harapan lama sekolah dan pendapatan riil per kapita yang tertinggi dibanding kelompok/cluster lainnya dan memiliki tingkat pengangguran terbuka dan indikator kemiskinan (P0, P1, dan P2) yang terendah dibanding kelompok lainnya. Kata kunci: Pemuda neet; employment; education; training Youth analysis NEET (not in employment, education, or training)
High government debts in several countries have the potential to trigger or exacerbate economic instability. These concerns are consistent with the results of this study, where countries that have a high debt ratio tend to have declining economic growth. To provide more understanding about this effect, this study tries to examine the effect of debt on economic growth by utilising the governance and public trust level as a contextual variable and mediator. Empirically, both variables have a prominent role in the debt and economic growth nexus. The debt threshold as a budgetary rule is necessary but might not be sufficient to validate the rationality of rising debt. The capability of government in providing public governance and the effect of additional debt on public trust is another crucial aspect that needs to be seriously scrutinised, or when the addition of debt becomes inevitable (such as in pandemic situation), the government should strengthen governance capability to ensure the productivity of debt and mitigate the decreased public trust. This finding implies that the debt policy should not only be based on budgetary rule but also the capacity of governance and the potential implication of the falling public trust.
High government debts in several countries have the potential to trigger or exacerbate economic instability. These concerns are consistent with the results of this study, where countries that have a high debt ratio tend to have declining economic growth. To provide more understanding about this effect, this study tries to examine the effect of debt on economic growth by utilising the governance and public trust level as a contextual variable and mediator. Empirically, both variables have a prominent role in the debt and economic growth nexus. The debt threshold as a budgetary rule is necessary but might not be sufficient to validate the rationality of rising debt. The capability of government in providing public governance and the effect of additional debt on public trust is another crucial aspect that needs to be seriously scrutinised, or when the addition of debt becomes inevitable (such as in pandemic situation), the government should strengthen governance capability to ensure the productivity of debt and mitigate the decreased public trust. This finding implies that the debt policy should not only be based on budgetary rule but also the capacity of governance and the potential implication of the falling public trust.
Tujuan utama dari pemberian program bantuan tunai adalah untuk meningkatkan outcome kesehatan dan pendidikan sebagai indikator pembangunan manusia yang mendasar. Namun, tidak menutup kemungkinan bahwa pemberian bantuan tunai tersebut memiliki dampak sampingan. Studi ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis dampak program bantuan tunai terhadap akumulasi aset tahan lama rumah tangga. Studi ini memanfaatkan data randomized control trial dari desain eksperimental program bantuan tunai Program Keluarga Harapan (PKH) di Indonesia. Adapun jangka waktu dari evaluasi dampak dalam studi ini yakni setelah enam tahun implementasi. Data baseline diperoleh dari Survei Evaluasi Dampak Program PNPM Generasi 2007, sedangkan data follow-up diperoleh dari Survei Pelayanan Kesehatan dan Pendidikan 2013. Dengan menggunakan estimasi dampak intention-to-treat (ITT), diperoleh kesimpulan bahwa program bantuan tunai PKH tidak terbukti secara statistik memiliki dampak terhadap akumulasi aset tahan lama yang dilihat dari kepemilikan televisi, kulkas, dan HP. Hasil studi ini sekaligus memberikan jawaban atas kekhawatiran penggunaan bantuan tunai yang rentan untuk disalahgunakan oleh rumah tangga meskipun diberikan dengan kondisi atau syarat tertentu. Kata Kunci: Aset tahan lama; bantuan tunai; randomized control trial The sideways impact of cash transfer program: Evidence from randomized control trial in Indonesia
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