This article compares stock return behaviour in mature and emerging stock markets. The role of leading markets and the impact of the October 1997 East Asian financial crisis are examined in the context of stock market interdependencies. An extended AR(1)-GARCH-M (autoregressive generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity) model is used. Potential price and volatility transmission mechanisms stemming from leading markets and potential structural breaks in mean and variance caused by the above crisis are discussed. Daily data covering the 16 April 1991 to 29 November 2001 period are used. The results reveal significant differences in stock return behaviour between mature and emerging markets and confirm substantial interdependencies among stock markets, originating from both leading and emerging markets.
This paper examines the impact of the June 2014 switch to negative interest rates (NIRs) by the European Central Bank (ECB) on the operation of the eurozone interest-rate pass-through (IRPT) mechanism. We focus on the relationship between major central-bank policy rates and selected money-market rates. That link is identified as the first stage of the IRPT mechanism and its dynamics are analysed using Granger causality and cointegration techniques for the time period January 2000–June 2017. Our empirical findings indicate a feedback relationship between the ECB policy and the money-market rates in the period prior to June 2014, but that relationship is non-operative when considering only the period of NIRs.
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