The purpose of this paper is to detect the causes of inflation in Tunisia and to verify the existence of a causal relationship between central bank independence and inflation. Thus, we proved, using an ARDL model, that inflation in Tunisia is essentially explained by the variation of exchange rates, the turnover of the central bank governor, the credits granted to the private sector and the variation of interest rates which exerts a perverse effect. In this context, the analysis of inflation in Tunisia has allowed us to show that this phenomenon cannot be explained solely by monetary variables. Moreover, we have highlighted the existence of a positive impact of interest rates on inflation. In addition, we have detected a new cause of inflation in Tunisia which is imports. This variable positively affects inflation in the long run. These results show that inflation in Tunisia is essentially a monetary and demand inflation in the short run. In the long run, inflation is also the result of structural factors that can be represented either by structural imbalances in the different markets, or by problems related to the quality of institutions or corruption.
scite is a Brooklyn-based organization that helps researchers better discover and understand research articles through Smart Citations–citations that display the context of the citation and describe whether the article provides supporting or contrasting evidence. scite is used by students and researchers from around the world and is funded in part by the National Science Foundation and the National Institute on Drug Abuse of the National Institutes of Health.
customersupport@researchsolutions.com
10624 S. Eastern Ave., Ste. A-614
Henderson, NV 89052, USA
This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.
Copyright © 2025 scite LLC. All rights reserved.
Made with 💙 for researchers
Part of the Research Solutions Family.