Poor immunological responders (PIR) are HIV-infected patients with virologic suppression upon antiretroviral therapy (ART) but persistently low CD4+ T cell counts. Early identification of PIR is important given their higher morbimortality compared to adequate immune responders (AIR). In this study, 33 patients severely lymphopenic at ART onset, were followed for at least 36 months, and classified as PIR or AIR using cluster analysis grounded on their CD4+ T cell count trajectories. Based on a variety of immunological parameters, we built predictive models of PIR/AIR outcome using logistic regression. All PIR had CD4+ T cell counts consistently below 500 cells/μL, while all AIR reached this threshold. AIR showed a higher percentage of recent thymic emigrants among CD4+ T cells; higher numbers of sj-TRECs and greater sj/β TREC ratios; and significant increases in thymic volume from baseline to 12 months of ART. We identified mathematical models that correctly predicted PIR/AIR outcome after 36 months of therapy in 77–87% of the cases, based on observations made until 2–6 months after ART onset. This study highlights the importance of thymic activity in the immune recovery of severely lymphopenic patients, and may help to select the patients that will benefit from closer follow-up or novel therapeutic approaches.
The hazard rate is a statistical indicator commonly used in lifetime analysis. The Birnbaum-Saunders (BS) model is a life distribution originated from a problem pertaining to material fatigue that has been applied to diverse fields. The BS model relates the total time until failure to some type of cumulative damage that is normally distributed. The generalized BS (GBS) distribution is a class of positively skewed models with lighter and heavier tails than the BS distribution. Particular cases of GBS distributions are the BS and BS-Student-t (BS-t) models. In this paper, we discuss shape and change point analyses for the hazard rate of the BS-t distribution. In addition, we evaluate the performance of the maximum likelihood and moment estimators of this change point using Monte Carlo methods. We also present an application with a real life data set useful for survival analysis, which shows the convenience of knowing such instant of change for establishing a reduction in the dose and, as a consequence, in the cost of the treatment.
This work is on developing clean-room processes for the fabrication of electrolyte-gate graphene field-effect transistors at the wafer scale for biosensing applications. Our fabrication process overcomes two main issues: removing surface residues after graphene patterning and the dielectric passivation of metallic contacts. A graphene residue-free transfer process is achieved by using a pre-transfer, sacrificial metallic mask that protects the entire wafer except the areas around the channel, source, and drain, onto which the graphene film is transferred and later patterned. After the dissolution of the mask, clean gate electrodes are obtained. The multilayer SiO2/SiNx dielectric passivation takes advantage of the excellent adhesion of SiO2 to graphene and the substrate materials and the superior impermeability of SiNx. It hinders native nucleation centers and breaks the propagation of defects through the layers, protecting from prolonged exposition to all common solvents found in biochemistry work, contrary to commonly used polymeric passivation. Since wet etch does not allow the required level of control over the lithographic process, a reactive ion etching process using a sacrificial metallic stopping layer is developed and used for patterning the passivation layer. The process achieves devices with high reproducibility at the wafer scale.
The Birnbaum-Saunders (BS) distribution has been largely studied and applied. A random variable with BS distribution is a transformation of another random variable with standard normal distribution. Generalized BS distributions are obtained when the normally distributed random variable is replaced by another symmetrically distributed random variable. This allows us to obtain a wide class of positively skewed models with lighter and heavier tails than the BS model. Its failure rate admits several shapes, including the unimodal case, with its change-point being able to be used for different purposes. For example, to establish the reduction in a dose, and then in the cost of the medical treatment. We analyze the failure rates of generalized BS distributions obtained by the logistic, normal and Student-t distributions, considering their shape and change-point, estimating them, evaluating their robustness, assessing their performance by simulations, and applying the results to real data from different areas.Special cases of the t distribution are the Cauchy and normal distributions, when ν = 1 and ν → +∞, respectively.
This paper is concerned with the Markovian sequence Xn = Zn max{Xn–1, Yn},n ≧ 1, where X0 is any random variable, {Zn} and {Yn} are independent sequences of i.i.d. random variables both independent of X0. We consider the problem of characterizing the class of stationary distributions arising in such a model and give criteria for a d.f. to belong to it. We develop further results when the Zn's are random variables concentrated on the interval [0, 1], namely having a beta distribution.
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