Background: Ankle osteoarthritis is a significant cause of pain and disability. Despite the effectiveness of treatments, a subset of patients remains with persistent pain and functional limitations. The purpose of this study was to use preoperative patient-reported outcome measures to predict which ankle osteoarthritis patients would be most likely to experience postoperative improvements in functional outcomes. Methods: A retrospective analysis of prospectively collected data was used to evaluate 427 patients with end-stage ankle arthritis with 5-year follow-up. Demographics, comorbidities, Ankle Osteoarthritis Scale (AOS), Ankle Arthritis Score (AAS), and the physical and mental component scores of the Short Form–36 (SF-36 Physical Components Score [PCS] and Mental Components Score [MCS]) were collected. The minimal clinically important difference (MCID) was then calculated. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was used to choose the optimal threshold values of preoperative patient-reported outcome measure and assess the prediction performance. Results: Patients who scored worst at preoperative baseline made the greatest gains in function and pain relief, and they had a high chance of achieving MCID following surgical treatment. ROC curves demonstrated that preoperative AOS, AAS, and SF-36 PCS and MCS scores were predictive of postoperative improvements in physical and mental function. Patients with preoperative AOS score above 45.7 had an 83% probability of achieving an MCID (AUC = 0.67). Similarly, patients with a preoperative AAS score above 25.7 had a 78% probability of achieving an MCID (AUC = 0.63). Patients with a preoperative SF-36 PCS score below 31 had a 62% probability of achieving an MCID (AUC = 0.64). Patients with a preoperative SF-36 MCS below 52.7 had a 47% probability of achieving an MCID (AUC = 0.89). MCIDs for AOS, AAS, SF3-36 PCS, and SF-36 MCS score changes were 12.4, 10.0, 6.43, and 8.1, respectively. Conclusion: Preoperative patient-reported outcomes measures could predict postoperative improvement in ankle arthritis patients. The results of this study may be used to facilitate discussion between physicians and patients regarding the expected benefit of surgery. Level of Evidence: Level III, prognostic comparative study.

Osteochondral lesions of the talus (OLTs) are a common cause of post-traumatic ankle pain and disability. Atelocollagen-induced chondrogenesis (ACIC) aims to encourage the development of hyaline cartilage, which is biomechanically superior to fibrocartilage. This single-center, retrospective database study assessed patients who underwent arthroscopic microfracture with or without atelocollagen scaffold augmentation for OLT. Between 2010 and 2019, 87 patients underwent microfracture only and 31 patients underwent ACIC. Propensity score matching was used to match the ACIC group in a 1:2 ratio to a corresponding microfracture-only group using logistic regression. American Orthopaedic Foot & Ankle Society (AOFAS) scores, 100-mm Visual Analog Scale (VAS), Short Form-36 (SF-36), and satisfaction were assessed at preoperative, 3-, 6-, and 12-month intervals. There were no differences in baseline characteristics between groups after matching (P > .05). Both groups had similar improvements to VAS, AOFAS, and SF-36 scores up to 12 months (P > .05). Both groups had significant 1-year improvements to physical functioning, physical limitations in usual role activities, pain, and social functioning domains, but the ACIC group additionally had significant improvements to general health, vitality, and mental health. Patients in the ACIC group were also more satisfied than the microfracture group at all time points. Patients with OLTs who underwent ACIC reported superior satisfaction and improvements to quality of life, although clinical outcomes were similar to those who underwent microfracture alone at 1 year. Level of Evidence: Level III: Cohort study

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