In this article, we present empirical models for estimating daily mean air temperature (Ta) in the Hurd Peninsula of Livingston Island (Antarctica) using Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) Land Surface Temperature (LST) data and spatiotemporal variables. The models were obtained and validated using the daily mean Ta from three Spanish in situ meteorological stations (AEMET stations), Juan Carlos I (JCI), Johnsons Glacier (JG), and Hurd Glacier (HG), and three stations in our team’s monitoring sites, Incinerador (INC), Reina Sofía (SOF), and Collado Ramos (CR), as well as daytime and nighttime Terra-MODIS LST and Aqua-MODIS LST data between 2000 and 2016. Two types of multiple linear regression (MLR) models were obtained: models for each individual station (for JCI, INC, SOF, and CR—not for JG and HG due to a lack of data) and global models using all stations. In the study period, the JCI and INC stations were relocated, so we analyzed the data from both locations separately (JCI1 and JCI2; INC1 and INC2). In general, the best individual Ta models were obtained using daytime Terra LST data, the best results for CR being followed by JCI2, SOF, and INC2 (R2 = 0.5–0.7 and RSE = 2 °C). Model cross validation (CV) yielded results similar to those of the models (for the daytime Terra LST data: R2CV = 0.4–0.6, RMSECV = 2.5–2.7 °C, and bias = −0.1 to 0.1 °C). The best global Ta model was also obtained using daytime Terra LST data (R2 = 0.6 and RSE = 2 °C; in its validation: R2CV = 0.5, RMSECV = 3, and bias = −0.03), along with the significant (p < 0.05) variables: linear time (t) and two time harmonics (sine-cosine), distance to the coast (d), slope (s), curvature (c), and hour of LST observation (H). Ta and LST data were carefully corrected and filtered, respectively, prior to its analysis and comparison. The analysis of the Ta time series revealed different cooling/warming trends in the locations, indicating a complex climatic variability at a spatial scale in the Hurd Peninsula. The variation of Ta in each station was obtained by the Locally Weighted Regression (LOESS) method. LST data that was not “good quality” usually underestimated Ta and were filtered, which drastically reduced the LST data (<5% of the studied days). Despite the shortage of “good” MODIS LST data in these cold environments, all months were represented in the final dataset, demonstrating that the MODIS LST data, through the models obtained in this article, are useful for estimating long-term trends in Ta and generating mean Ta maps at a global level (1 km2 spatial resolution) in the Hurd Peninsula of Livingston Island.
In this article, we present a simple methodology for obtaining algorithms to estimate surface water vapour pressure (e 0 ) over cloud-free land areas using Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) data. The algorithm obtained in this case is adapted to the particular climatic characteristics of the Asturias region, but the methodology can easily be extrapolated and used to obtain algorithms for other regions around the world. The proposed method estimates e 0 from a simple linear combination of the radiances of the MODIS near-infrared (NIR) channels more commonly applied to total precipitable water (W ) estimations. Comparison between the e 0 data measured at the ground-based meteorological stations in Asturias (daily data from 2004) versus the values predicted using the proposed algorithm gives R 2 = 0.76 and residual standard error (RSE) = 2.07 hPa (16%). The algorithm was tested using the data from 2008 obtained in Asturias and in two sites outside of Asturias with similar latitudes and radiosonde observations (La Coruña and Santander). The resulting validation demonstrates that the algorithm gives good results in Asturias (root-mean-square deviation (RMSD) = 2.50 hPa (19%) and bias = 1.26 hPa, with R 2 = 0.65) and when La Coruña is included (R 2 = 0.61), but that its validity is decreased when Santander is also included (R 2 = 0.56).The possibility of obtaining e 0 from three global MODIS algorithms for W retrieval was also tested and compared to our algorithm. The results show that our algorithm gives better results than the International MODIS/Atmospheric InfraRed Sounder Processing Package (IMAPP) Water Vapour Near-Infrared (WVNIR) product and the Sobrino algorithm. The MODIS Total Precipitable Water (MOD05) product is worse than that obtained with our algorithm in Asturias (R 2 = 0.61 vs. R 2 = 0.65), but the two values are similar if the stations in La Coruña (R 2 = 0.60) and Santander (R 2 = 0.56) are included in the comparison. The dominant advantage of the novel algorithm proposed in this study is that it is simpler and can be produced quickly in real time.
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